Barbados Underground

The Energy Efficiency Challenge

April 29, 2008 · 123 Comments

justin robinsonSubmitted by Dr. Justin Robinson

Head of Department of Management Studies
UWI, Cave Hill
Tel 417 4299

As one who makes the trek from deep in St. Philip to UWI five days a week, the government’s decision to reverse the policy of subsidizing the price of petroleum products is going to hit me hard in the pocket. However, with oil prices stuck above US$90 per barrel for the last six months and projected to remain there for the foreseeable, fiscal responsibility would almost certainly have required that the government review its policy on subsidizing petroleum products

If the price of oil is likely to remain in the $90 plus range for the foreseeable future ( as most experts suggest), then in my view, households, firms, the government and other organizations need to be weaned from subsidized prices and aggressively embrace energy efficiency. In the meantime, targeted subsidies should be designed for the more vulnerable groups in society.

Energy efficiency has now become a key competitive variable among countries, and there is a veritable arms race among countries for first mover advantages in development and adoption of alternative energy technologies. The range of alternatives being explored is wide and varied from wind, solar and bio-fuels to wave and thermal energy sources. I am no scientist so I have no sense as to which of these if any will succeed as viable alternatives to oil, but it is clear that the imperative to improve energy efficiency must now rise to the top of the agenda for our society.

The previous administration launched a “green budget” in 2007. The various initiatives must now be aggressively marketed and beefed up if necessary. How many households, firms and other organizations have had an energy audit? Are they aware there is a tax break for this? Is the tax break large enough? Have we been training an adequate number of energy auditors?

The new government has a clear and well articulated energy policy in its manifesto. The DLP’s manifesto speaks to tax subsidies for installing solar electric systems in homes and businesses. The DLP manifesto speaks to the establishment of a “Smart Energy Fund” to provide low interest loans to households, firms and organizations seeking to install alternative energy solutions. The DLP manifesto also speaks to solar powering of government buildings. A combination of these measures and net metering with the Barbados Light and Power has the potential to substantially reduce the oil import bill for electricity generation, as well as generate new jobs. I know the policy agenda is quite crowded and there are many competing priorities, but the government may wish to move the above mentioned items up the agenda.

The government also needs to be vigorous in the application of competition policy to prevent abuses in terms of price increases. If energy costs account for 50% of costs then a 50% increase in energy prices should lead to around a 25% increases in prices, if there is full pass through of the price increase. Some of the current discussion suggests a one to one relationship between energy prices and production costs. The relationship between energy prices and production costs varies widely across industries, and the increases in energy prices should be an occasion for price gouging or other exploitation of the consumer.

However, the government can and should only do so much. The rest of the society has to play its part. As a financial economist the developments in the financial sector are of particular interest to me. A recent publication by the United Nations Environment Program Finance Initiative (UNEP FI) highlights a number of products launched by retail financial institutions around the world as they seek to confront the energy efficiency challenge. Commercial banks in Europe and Australia have been at the forefront with a number of initiatives, which I now outline.

Green Mortgages: In general, green mortgages, or energy efficient mortgage (EEMs), provide retail customers with considerably lower interest rates than market rates for clients who purchase new energy efficient homes and/or invest in retrofits, energy efficient appliances or green power. Banks some times provide green mortgages by covering the cost of switching a house from conventional to green power.

Green Home Equity Loans: These are reduced rate home equity loans for homeowners who install renewable energy in their homes.

Green Commercial Building Loans: Attractive loan designs and arrangements have started to emerge for green commercial buildings, characterized by lower energy consumption (-15 to -25%), reduced waste and less pollution than traditional buildings

Green Car Loans: These loans offer below market rates for the purchase of cars with demonstrated high fuel efficiency. These products have grown rapidly in Australia and Europe. Interestingly, most green car loans are offered by credit unions. In 2003 Australia’s MECU took the offered car loans where the credit union considers a fuel efficiency rating associated with the vehicle type and provides a low interest rate accordingly. In addition, for the term of the loan the credit union commits to offsetting 100% of the car’s CO2 emissions. Since the launch of this product the firm has seen a 45% climb in car loans.

Green Cards: Most offer to make NGO donations equal to one-half percent of every purchase, balance transfer or cash advance made by the card owner.

Green Insurance: The premium is linked to the use and this environmental footprint of the vehicle, and green home insurance, where special rates are provided for energy efficient buildings.

Our retail financial services sector justifiably prides itself on being world class and very much in step with the latest trends. I am sure that these green initiatives are shortly going to be available locally. We need them if we are going to spur an aggressive thrust for greater energy efficiency.

Energy efficiency is now a major challenge for every society. It is one Barbados is well positioned to excel in. As a small nation, any programs can have nationwide impact in a short space of time. The government must do its part, and there is a major role for the private sector and the rest of civil society. However, don’t wait for them, let the process begin with you. Start a green committee at your work place and conserve energy at home. I am about to take over my proposal for a green committee at UWI to the principal.

Categories: Barbados · Barbados Economy · Barbados News · Blogging · Caribbean · Caribbean News · Energy · World News

123 responses so far ↓

  • Sam Gamgee // April 29, 2008 at 8:43 PM

    You go Justin.

    I am in no way qualified to speak about what we may be in a position to do about our energy issue but I am sure that there are engineers and other scientific brains out there who can assist in identifying viable options.

    I am also wondering if James Husbands of Solar Dynamics intends to get into any research with their particular brand of energy as to ways of getting into the national grid.

    Just wondering since I believe that it is every man on deck in these perilous times.

  • David // April 29, 2008 at 8:45 PM

    Sam any discussion of a national grid must include the Barbados Light & Power and the government. Common sense required that alternative energy approaches be done as a collective.

  • Sam Gamgee // April 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM

    I understand that David. It is just that I have not heard anything from that particular company on anything other than hot water systems. Surely there has to be the potential for more.

  • The People's Democratic Congress // April 29, 2008 at 10:12 PM

    It is very good to see Dr. Justin Robinson – a so-called financial economist, whatever that is – communicating in the way he has done on this blog with fellow bloggers, and on a matter that is very critical to our future survival as a nation of people in Barbados, this matter being that of identifying and providing for efficient, viable and alternative sources of energy for our country, at such a time when we are faced with very astronomically high world oil prices and the very serious effects that such prices are having on our country, and, too, given the kind of increasing internationalization of the dominant systems of ideology, politics, production, finance, and other things that we have going in this world. Once again, very good, Dr. Robinson, and we hope you engage the blogging public more on many more critical issues affecting the people of Barbados.

    What is troubling to us, though, about your presentation, Dr. Robinson, is that you seek validation for your points about needing to be very energy efficient in alternative ways by making reference to the a publication from the United Nations Environment Program Finance Initiative that “highlights a number of financial products launched by retail financial institutions across the world as they seek to confront the energy efficient challenge”. And you have named some of them: Green Mortgages, Green Home Equity Loans, Green Commercial Building Loans, Green Cards, Gren Car Loans, and Green Insurance. Although you have pointed to such “developments” you, Dr. Robinson, have failed in your article to say how Barbados is going to start implementing such, and the peculiar environment within which such will be implemented, and the modalities that are needed to make such work. The truth is that, though, we are for environmental and ecological greening, we in PDC are totally opposed to anything that suggests so-called financial greening, which seems mainly to be just another brand or version of making the masses and middle classes of Barbados, who have been wickedly for all these years politically exploited by elitist systemic financial means, more vulnerable to another form of destructive economic and financial madness. If we have NOT seriously tackled the profound distresses and malaises brought on the masses and middle classes of people of Barbados by traditional financial poducts, why must we now entertain such madness cloaked in environmental language, Dr. Robinson?
    What mindless intellectual distortions we truly engage in, in the fight to be really accepted!!

    PDC

  • politically incorrect // April 29, 2008 at 11:09 PM

    Green or red; the facts to be dealt with more efficiently are how are Bajans to survive when things turn brown ???– which happens to be a mixture of green and red.

    Correctly said but not quite explicit enough does PDC say that these “retail financial institutions across the world, as they seek to confront the energy efficient challenge”………….
    are not in the business of “confronting” these challenges for no small personal gain. It might even be said that they are “exploiting” these challenges.

    “The borrower is in debt to the lender” how many Bajans who think they own a house or a car or whatever they have on mortgage will be able in a financial downturn to maintain their ownership of same or even worse not be enslaved just to put bread in their mouths?

    So” green” or whatever colour you may choose to call it, it is still a form of entrapment. A debt for consumables for a house and other fittings is still an entrapment it is not financial wisdom.

    Old time Bajans would have said “You hung your hat to high”.

  • » The Energy Efficiency Challenge Home Equity on The Finance World For News and Information Around The World On Finance: Find Info, News and More on Home Equity // April 30, 2008 at 4:09 AM

    [...] The Energy Efficiency Challenge Green Home Equity Loans: These are reduced rate home equity loans for homeowners who install renewable energy in their homes. [...]

  • David // April 30, 2008 at 6:00 AM

    politically correct if people have to accumulate debt would it not be better to use the debt to create a situation where the national economy benefits? If collectively we consume items which are energy savers the country benefits. It seems that your assumption is that the country of Barbados will collapse. Even Haiti has football stadia and other recreational facilities. Social development cannot be totally ignored, even in the hardest economic times.

    We find Dr. Robinson’s article interesting for another reason. It is currently the third most read in the last 48 hours. We would have thought that given the economic crisis which looms that we would all be reading and making suggestions. Even at this stage we are prepared to say that Barbadians continue to live in a fools paradise.

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // April 30, 2008 at 8:28 AM

    PDC, so called Financial Economists are Economists who focus their teaching and research on financial institutions and markets.

    I do not believe there is any one magic bullet to solve the energy problems. So yes PDC I don have any grand solution of my own. However, I think the various elements of society have to do their little part.

    I am throwing out a challenge to the retail financial institutions to consider offering some products that might spur energy efficiency.

    I am throwing out a challenge to regular citizens to do what they can at home and at work to spur energy efficiency. A similar challenge goes out to businesses and NGOs.

  • Knight of the Long Knives // April 30, 2008 at 12:19 PM

    I have wondered for a while why low sulfur diesel which is available in the U.S has not reached the shores of Barbados as yet. This would allow us to import 1.4 & 1.6 diesel Corollas, Sentra Mazda 3’s etc. That should greatly reduce our fuel bill. Fuel consumption should literally drop by half and spoke to a civil servant in the ministry about 3 years ago and they said the were activiely trying to source it but it was not available in the U.S at that point so it would have to be imported from Europe (or Martinique?) it is now fully available in the U.S so it should be easy to get it here now so Why Not?

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // April 30, 2008 at 1:12 PM

    It would certainly be useful to hear from those more knowledgeable about the details of importing such fuel.

  • Trained Economist // April 30, 2008 at 1:35 PM

    The credit union movement has been the most innovative in BIM. Maybe they might embrace some energy efficient financial products. I do not hold out any hope for the rest of the sector.

    The problem, Robinson, is that the subsidies from the last government has lulled the country into a false sense of security and prosperity. Instead of looking to adjust players in the economy are looking for more government relief.

  • peltdownman // April 30, 2008 at 2:33 PM

    Knight of the Long Knives
    I have wondered for a while why low sulfur diesel which is available in the U.S has not reached the shores of Barbados as yet.
    _________________________________
    KLK
    I, too, am amazed that we have not yet sourced this fuel. Perhaps Simpson Oil can fill us in on why not. After all, Simpson Motors would benefit greatly if their brands could offer diesel-powered vehicles. Something tells me that we are stuck in some agreement to import the crap from Trinidad. I’d love to be wrong.

  • David // April 30, 2008 at 5:12 PM

    We found it interesting while listening to Richard Cozier CEO of Banks Brewery on the afternoon call in to hear him say the following: Barbadians need to beef up exports to generate foreign exchange so that Barbadian can support their current lifestyles.

    This is why we agree with all those who feel Barbadians changing behaviours will be a tough nut to crack.

  • Ian Walcott // April 30, 2008 at 6:45 PM

    Justin:
    Good to see the boys on the hill finally making a contribution in public.
    Unfortunately, what has been plaguing the entire Caribbean region (Barbados in particular), is our implementation deficit. There’s no shortage of ideas, policy papers, green papers, strategy documents, consultants’ reports or recommendations.
    In fact with all the studies that have been done, there’s enough to keep us busy for the next 20 years if we would just implement.
    I’m afraid however that the current administration has already fallen into the trap of “TALKING MORE THAN DOING!” … all they really need to do is to take the reports off the shelves and start to implement…
    It’s hardly about limited financial resources either…it’s about decision-making, will power, and testicular fortitude to implement and make things happen.
    Maybe oil hitting $120 a barrel will be a good thing…such an external squeeze will pressure everyone into changing their attitudes…
    All in all…this will be a one-term administration. That’s my agenda…

  • David // April 30, 2008 at 7:09 PM

    Ian Walcott we are sure that Dr. Robinson can defend himself but we must chime in. It is regretable when our educated cannot critique based on value positions but instead expose the polarization which continue to exist in Barbados at a time when a bi-partisan approach is required. Are you the same Ian Walcott who was fired from the NCF?

  • Adrian Hinds // April 30, 2008 at 8:10 PM

    David // April 30, 2008 at 7:09 pm

    Are you the same Ian Walcott who was fired from the NCF?
    =================================
    ha ha ha ha, no way could it be. :D if it is has he returned to Barbados yet? Did he ever leave as promised? :D

  • Birdpickmango // April 30, 2008 at 8:20 PM

    I believe that Barbados has the creative intelligence, resolve and resources to respond to to the any energy crisis. History has shown that during adversity we may complain but we ultimately make the behavior changes that we resisted under times of progress. During the Sandiford period of adversity, a woman sold her big car, bought a peace of land and then purchased a second hand car with the remainder. Even though she was financially better off she still vented her anger on Sandiford. During that same period several road side food based business sprung up and still exist near After Dark and its environs.
    Besides alternative energy sources, the macro challenges include a 24 hour effective air – conditioned transportation system with parking bays; a limited form of staggered working hours; tax credits or impositions that signal energy saving as a priority; a thrust in non traditional areas like education and culture as sources of foreign exchange; and a public health campaign promoting the virtues of exercise.
    At the individual level Barbadians must not see slavery and colonialism as all bad and recognize adversity can be a friend in deed.
    We must remember that unlike other islands and someparts of the USA, if a family has to give one of three cars, or a child returns to their parents three bedroom house, or a family goes to Silver Sands instead of a cruise, or cook their meals instead ofeating out every weekend, in none of the afore mentioned situations, no one will hungry our on the street.

  • Bush tea // April 30, 2008 at 9:25 PM

    Dr Robinson,

    I would like to challenge your suggestion that a rational response to the current crisis can be found in energy efficiency and conservation.

    I suggest to you that in fact, the last 60 years represented a most unusual ‘blip’ in history. During this period, a significant percentage of humanity was able to achieve levels of development which were so much above what can be reasonably expected (based on the earth’s resources and its population) that IT REPRESENTS A SITUATION WHICH IS UNSUSTAINABLE.

    It is somewhat like having all your ancestors saving their pennies for the last two centuries, accumulating a million dollar fund, and you then living a glamorous life at a rate which would exhaust the funds in 2 years.
    One month from the end of the 2 -year splurge, you consider improved efficiency as a tactic to allow you to maintain your lifestyle???

    I think not.

    What is needed is a crash course in learning how to live at a sustainable rate, based on the long term resources available to you.

    Anyone who really thinks that a typical Bajan worker could REALLY afford to pay the TRUE value of a complex engineering miracle like a Japanese Auto, a home that is better that that of almost any Royal palace of past generations, annual holidays in distant lands, etc …..needs to pinch themselves awake….

    We just happen to be in the right place and time to benefit from the splurging of earths resources during the last century or so.

    No way that the world’s 6.7 Billion people can maintain such lifestyles, and no way either, that small segments will be allowed to continue to do so to the exclusion of large population blocks.

    What conservation what?!?

    ….What we need to face is REALITY.

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // April 30, 2008 at 9:44 PM

    Bush tea, is energy efficiency not part part of reality and a sustainable lifestyle?

    I agree with the implementation deficit argument. But it does seem a tad early to assess the ability of this administration to implement.

    A question I have is why have the financial institutions in other countries offered these green products but we have not seen similar initiatives here?

  • The People's Democratic Congress // April 30, 2008 at 10:21 PM

    During the last election period in Barbados, we did much campaigning concerning the fact that not only were we in PDC pressing voters to understand the real need for a serious rational alternative path of social, political, material and financial development for Barbados, given that there have for a long time too many dysfunctions and deficiencies related to existing social, political, material and financial systems in Barbados, but also we were responding to the fact that many, many citizens that we were interacting with were seeing the need for Barbados to evolve viable alternative modal paths of social, political, material and financial development.

    The truth was that at the time of the last election period, and still is, given that PDC has been continuing to canvass many of our citizenry on many burning national issues, many citizens of Barbados were craving for substantial social, political, material and financial change for the country and for the better, away from what presently continues to cause them to lose hope, satisfaction and valor in relationship to the mass stagnation and decline that are experienced by them in society, the polity, production and finance. Too, it did NOT take an election in which the PDC participated for us to know that so many Barbadians not only wish for change, but also wish to be fairly certain as to what kinds of changes we were proposing.

    With regard to the latter, ever since our emergence in January, 2005, we have been correctly sensing that many thousands of Barbadians wish to be further liberated and enriched away from the oppressed and decadent state in which they have been living for some while. Therefore, we have long come up with a plethora of very rational, people-centered, alternative, and developmentalist measures, many of which are found in our Pre-election Manifesto 2006, in our Election Manifesto 2008, and which were dealt with substantially before and during the election period, that are oriented around making life far better and brighter than for the masses and middle classes of people of Barbados. One of these measures that is so very important to our party relates to making sure that Goods and Services into Barbados are Zero-”priced” at ALL points of entry in Barbados.

    The point is that if we were at the helm of government today – and for that mate since the 15 Jan 2008 – we would have already started to implement such a policy with a view of making sure that whereas the volume of annual imports into this country would be remaining on an upward long-term growth path, that the cost of these imports to the country’s final local consumers would be being totally minimised in the long term. In that case then, citizens would not have had to be worrying – like is the case now – about whether the country’s food or fuel import bills are too high, and if they are too high, about the government seeking to make the masses and middle classes poorer because of particular measures that it would be unnecessarily and savagely imposing on them in order to help curb such imports.

    PDC

  • politically incorrect // April 30, 2008 at 11:10 PM

    There are none so blind as those that do not wish to see.

    All kinds of modalities for enslavement and impoverishment of former colonial countries have been proffered as being “socially responsible” “socially responsive” blah, blah, blah……..Gold Coast…………Ghana……….Nigeria…………….and the list goes on.

    How come Haiti, which was one of the first independent countries in this hemisphere is still rated as one of the poorest in the world? The social amenities had nothing to do with enriching the people, it was a distraction from the issues at hand.

    Queen Elizabeth the First was credited as saying to Sir Walter Raleigh “If you can’t feed them at least entertain them”.

    Generations from now if Barbados survives as a nation, historians will be talking about “squandermania” “irresponsible leadership” and “wrong choices”.

    Most of the cricketing stars that Barbados revels over didn’t start cricket in any stadium, they started in a road and the most revered learned to play cricket with a coconut bat and marbles. If his skills in the same game could be developed to that high standard from such rudimentary equipment and for all of the improvement in the facilities and equipment we have not been able to generate a comparable cricketer.

    Can’t some Block Head out there add and subtract? That we are investing our resources in the wrong avenues?

    Further, when my grandparents got married, they took their savings and bought a “chattel” house. When my children get married, I don’t even think they would have sufficient savings to outright buy a motor car.

    When my father started work, he and his father bought their first car out of one month’s pay. If you hear the sum of what they worked for you would suck your teeth on the numbers but the money had value, sufficient that a beginning employee and a seasoned employee could put together and buy a car.

    In other words the money we have in circulation in Barbados has lost value. It has lost purchasing power because we are spending more than we are earning and saving and we are spending it on concrete monoliths.

    If Barbados has a minor national disaster every Barbadian will either have to shut their mouth about it that it does not get into the international news or they will have to shut their mouth because they have nothing to eat. Tourism would die. It is a fickle business and we have taken the proceeds of generations and squandered it on extravagances that do not produce one cent — only promises.

    When Tom Adams won the Island Scholarship there were five scholarships. The last Island Scholarship awards were in excess of thirty something. Barbadians appear to be better educated but they are less frugal with their earnings, hurrying after temporary pleasures which must lead to energy wastage, resource wastage, environmental contamination and other negatives.

    The PDC had better recognize that there needs to be a grass roots movement towards a new social structure that the PDC can lead but the PDC nor any other political party will ever be able to impose upon the people a culture that is more frugal and self-sustaining. It can’t come from outside influences — The UN, and all the “Green” this and that. It must come from the “Heart” of the people.

  • Linchh // April 30, 2008 at 11:13 PM

    Justin:

    I congratulate you on your continuing attempts at bringing rigour and relevance to the discussion of important topics on the blogs. However, you are going to have a continuing battle with those whose grey matter has atrophied and whose agenda is to obfuscate.

    You said:

    “Energy efficiency is now a major challenge for every society. It is one Barbados is well positioned to excel in. As a small nation, any programs can have nationwide impact in a short space of time. The government must do its part, and there is a major role for the private sector and the rest of civil society. However, don’t wait for them, let the process begin with you. Start a green committee at your work place and conserve energy at home. I am about to take over my proposal for a green committee at UWI to the principal.”

    My comment is that the only thing that motivates Bajans is the perception that there is easy money to be made. It is this “money illusion” that has got us into the troubles of the 1990s and beyond.

    I am willing to continue to work with you, as we have done to educate DE, to ensure that our political leaders properly understand the issues with which they have to deal. I don’t bother too much about the foolish talk that the current DLP administration is a “one-term” one. If the majority of Bajans want to revert to a situation where somebody like Owen Arthur subjects them to a further fourteen years of perverted policies, then so be it. I’m pretty sure that I will not be around, and my children have had the common sense to stay far from this benighted Rock.

    But for now, don’t give up the shi(t)p!

  • Bush Tea // April 30, 2008 at 11:26 PM

    Doc,
    The problem that I have with ‘energy efficiency’ concepts, is that they suggests mechanisms for sustaining current lifestyles, by being more efficient in consumption.
    The reality has been that, despite dramatic advances in engineered efficiency improvements, the end results have always been INCREASED CONSUMPTION.
    (for example, while car engines have increased significantly in efficiency over the past 20 years, we have moved to BIGGER cars and MORE powerful engines instead of better usage of resources.

    My point however, is that we are now BEYOND the point of sustaining current global consumption. While very productive societies may continue to enjoy relative success for a while, NON productive societies (those without unique desired products and services) will decline significantly in the global competition for scarce resources.

    We have two choices now.

    1 – Proactively reduce our consumption to sustainable levels that are justified by our levels of PRODUCTIVITY (which is dismal)… or

    2 – Wait and fool ourselves about our ‘right’ to this level of ‘development’ and allow the natural forces of competition and the current global business realities to play out and FORCE the change on us.

    … There are no other realistic options, and option number 2 has been played out many times across our world in recent times. I predict that in the next year there will be a frightening number of such national failures.

    Option 1 is ‘doable’.

    It is about being able to do basic things for ourselves;

    Like actually living within our means

    like producing our foods basic necessities ourselves.

    like reducing our energy consumption to what we can actually afford nationally.

    Like riding bicycles.

    Like abandoning our current BORROW and spend approach to living in Barbados.

    Personally, I would scrap the ‘free trade’ approach imposed by the World Bank and their allies over the past 2 decades and reinstall the trade levees and port taxes that encourage and protect local production and discouraged cheap imports…. but that is only foolish Bush tea…

  • Birdpickmango // April 30, 2008 at 11:40 PM

    I wonder what yard stick the PDC strategist is using to measure the growth or otherwise of Barbados? Maybe PDC can explain how a party that could organize a campaign to win at least one seat be so confident that they would be able to push a button and solve the cost of living issue. Any comparison of the quality of life of Barbadians and many of some of the developed countries will be favorable. Other than size there is no difference between Cave Shepherd and major department stores in NewYork. Most secondary school students who transfer to the USA are usually ahead by two grade levels.
    There are sport bars in Barbados that will compete with any in the USA. It is time
    Barbadians recognize that there are somethings that we do well. By the way when is the last time one saw a really old car in Barbados?

  • David // April 30, 2008 at 11:54 PM

    The greatest paradox Barbados faces appear to be having educated its citizens to a high level, and which has created a level of expectation which links a comfortable lifestyle and consumption expenditure, now we are telling these people who have this inbred behaviour they have to change almost overnight. it will never happen. Even as riots are happening in the world and some of the most developed economies are rolling out economic measures to buffer the economic shocks which are creating havoc in their economies, Barbadians still have not made the quantum leap into reality of awareness. Yet we call ourselves educated, paradoxical behaviour indeed!

  • The People's Democratic Congress // May 1, 2008 at 12:35 AM

    Dr. Justin Robinson,

    We contend that much of the push that we are right now observing by many people in Barbados towards becoming more energy efficient – primarily suggests that those same people and many others in different ways continue to be unfortunately manipulated into doing so by many greater external powers and forces.

    Such external powers and forces, Dr. Robinson, are currently seeking to create a massive global economic and financial depression so as to help restore for them much of the power, control, wealth and status they are losing to many others in different realms. The problem for them is that the world may be becoming too unmanageable and too far removed from their controlling axes (North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Development, Zimbabwe, Venezuela, the Sudan/Darfur conflict), and thus such trends may altogether be causing them to lose the said much power, control, wealth and status to many other people – some of whom are from the so-called Far East – and some of whom they do not trust or who they think may wish to control and exploit them ultimately (the Chinese). For them, Dr. Robinson, the solution to this problem is to help create global chaos and misery, and uncertainty and fear among many millions of esp. poor people, and to get their proprietary or associated global media and communication empires and channels to help produce news and information to help produce such effects.

    But, the fact of the matter for these people, Sir, is that they may have waited to late to do what they are seeking to do – creating this massive global economic and financial depression, given they have been slow to react to the fact that the Chinese and the Indians have been for some time becoming more politically powerful, and have been for a fair time increasingly looking to invest in the resources rich African continent, and the fact that, in a mutual way, too, many countries on the African continent are increasingly looking to those two countries for improved trade and investment relations, nevermind what these people say or instruct otherwise (Negative talk from some US officials about cheap loans from China to African countries, Collapse of the plan to place the US Military African Command in Africa itself) – yet, must speak a lot to why these people are behaving in this way, and they will in the near to long term seek increasing use of global, hemispheric and regional councils like the WTO, OAS, NATO, to further push and impose their agendas on esp. weaker countries and regions, out of their frustration and bitterness of NOT having the huge amounts power, wealth, etc, like before, to force or persuade many other countries to conform to their own dreaded designs (The insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan are indeed teaching these people lessons in resistance and non-conformity, and which are lessons that are costing them tremendously).

    Dr. Robinson, the fact that the said Chinese and Indians have NOT been made to suffer badly from much of the current global economic and financial turbulence, and are still therefore recording strong economic growth rates, does suggest too that these people will go as far as to seek to deliberately unconscionably increase the so-called prices of many internationally traded goods and services within their reaches, and thus help to create many balance of payments and foreign exchange problems for many developing countries, so that they can eventually flood many developing countries’ markets with many substitutive cheaper and inferior goods and services, and, too, will seek to depress many prices commodities and services markets across the world so that they can move in with their own ideas and programs as to how to they can help rebuild such markets and countries (UN Task Force to tackle the global food crisis, financial greening products) – must be seen by PDC as ways in which these people will still be thinking that they will be competing with relatively low costing Chinese and Indian industrial and manufacturing goods and services in a very indirect manner, notwithstanding that much of their countries’ debts are increasingly being held by the Chinese and others.

    In the end, Dr. Robinson, it is how the Chinese and Indians, to a greater extent, and many African countries, to a lesser extent, react to these power plays and wealth manipulating schemes, et al, by these people, with ones of their own that will help determine whether the balance of power will reside with the West or the East in the long term; whether this planned massive global economic and financial depression by these people will actually take place; whether oil and some other commodities will continue to skyrocket further in the long run; and whether we in Barbados will continue to suffer from serious leadership and governance problems that involve our being unable to withstand the nefarious manipulations and sinister designs of these external powers and forces.

    PDC

  • The People's Democratic Congress // May 1, 2008 at 12:53 AM

    Inadvertencies: paragraph 3, line 13/14 – yet, such must speak a lot as to why; paragraph 3, line 14 – “why” inserted between “and” and “they”; paragraph 4, line 11 – insert “go as far as to” between “will” and “seek”.

    PDC

  • The People's Democratic Congress // May 1, 2008 at 3:03 AM

    To the blogger, politically correct

    While we will agree with you that there is a need for a new political mass movement for Barbados – which we, along with so many others, are working so hard to help create – we are still of the the view that many of the masses and middle classes will ultimately determine which party or which ever other political group will lead it. What we will also say to you is that we the members and associates of PDC are about making sure that many, many people in Barbados get more educated about the benefits and costs associated with our brand of maximum sustainable growth and development for this country, which we obviously love so dearly.

    To the blogger, Birdpickmango

    Some of the same ones that top government and private sector officials in Barbaos use to help them measure the progress, or lack there of, that we as a country are making or not in whatever directions, and mainly such progress or not in regard of corresponding points in time (some times plausibly comparing “similar periods” with other “similar periods”, and NOT Barbados with other countries), and mainly to see whether or not we are maximising our potentialities at given periods of time, given whatever levels of human skills, resources, assets and money we have available in the country. Any yardsticks that we think are too Euro-centric, too laden with false assumptions and propositions, and that will therefore lead to false conclusions, we discard. E.g we refuse to deal with inflation figures presented from time to time in different ways and by different persons in Barbados, because of the reality of the fact of inflation being so totally non-existent, and, too, because of the ways how some so-called economists and statisticians in Barbados and elsewhere purport to go about defining and measuring for it, such ways being philosophically and logically flawed and untenable, indeed.

    Following on from a couple statements above, and with regard to the idea of using some yardsticks to measure how, say, Barbados progressively/regressively compares with other countries, we hardly like to make such comparisons between Barbados and other countries. Hence, only when it is absolutely valid and logical for us to do so, given the circumstances prevailing in those cases of the need to compare Barbados with other countries, will we seek to use such yard sticks. It is so hard to compare the so-called economic development of Barbados with that of Jamaica at any point in time if because, e.g, Barbados has so fewer people, natural resources, far less material access to the big USA, than Jamaica has got.

    Sir/Madam, on the question of the cost of living in Barbados, the cost of living can be seriously reduced in this country. But, there must be at least three factors involved at the national political level:

    1) there must be great amounts of positive political leadership will involved;

    2) a sense of ideological and political conviction being displayed by such leadership, and that knows that what it is doing is right, just and purposeful, and that such is being carried out in the interest of esp. the masses and middle classes of people of Barbados, and the country itself; and,

    3) a sense of methodological preciseness, coherence and clarity on the part of such leadership in regard of the use of those political, planning, research, statistical, and financial and material methods and results that will be used to help achieve the overarching political and social objective of reducing the cost of living.

    In addition to using those and some other apposite factors in order to assist in reducing the cost of living in Barbados, our party is definitely sure that by achieving the Abolition of TAXATION; that by the Abolition of Interest Rates; that by the Abolition of All Exchange RATES parities with the Barbados Dollar; that by the Abolition of Motor Vehicle Insurance; that by Making Imports of Goods and Services zero-”priced” at ALL points of entry; and that by instituting a national centralised “price” setting mechanism for many goods and services, et al, that the cost of living will, on the whole, be drastically reduced in the long term in Barbados.

    PDC

  • Linchh // May 1, 2008 at 4:12 AM

    David // April 30, 2008 at 11:54 pm

    The greatest paradox Barbados faces appear to be having educated its citizens to a high level, and which has created a level of expectation which links a comfortable lifestyle and consumption expenditure, now we are telling these people who have this inbred behaviour they have to change almost overnight. it will never happen. Even as riots are happening in the world and some of the most developed economies are rolling out economic measures to buffer the economic shocks which are creating havoc in their economies, Barbadians still have not made the quantum leap into reality of awareness. Yet we call ourselves educated, paradoxical behaviour indeed!

    ********************************************
    David, I think that the problem with your analysis (and many of the contributors to this post) is that it is at variance with generally accepted conclusions regarding what is the core motivation of economic behaviour. Granted, there may be other determinants of economic behaviour that vary in time and space, but the major objective of human beings ACTING AS ECONOMIC AGENTS is to maximise consumption. Saving is an activity in which persons engage with the objective reducing current consumption to maximise it later.

    One of the problems that persons who try to influence national behaviour is that people’s choices are heavily influenced by present value calculations – anything that is worth having is worth having NOW! Why do you think people contract HIV/AIDS even where condoms are freely available? (Ok, that one is below the belt!!) Worse yet, can you imagine that in the USA two of the Presidential contenders are proposing the suspension of the gasolene tax for the summer to allow people to drive around more??!! Tells us something about the craft of politics, doesn’t it?

  • Green Monkey // May 1, 2008 at 6:00 AM

    Exponential growth patterns have our backs against the wall. Most of today’s economists insists that we need to keep perpetual economic growth going to provide employment and the necessities of life for a country’s population. After all, if economic growth stops we run into recessions and depressions resulting in layoffs, bankruptcies, homelessness etc.

    Over the last 150 years economic growth had been easy to maintain as we had plenty of cheap and easily available oil to provide the energy to support that growth. As world economies industrialised and became more complex and economic activity increased, we just stuck straws into the ground at various locations and sucked out of the earth steadily increasing quantities of the energy (in the form of cheap oil) we needed to support all this activity.

    As world economies grew over the last 100 years or so, so did world oil consumption. Unfortunately most people don’t have a clue as to the impact that even small but constant increases in consumption can have in relatively short period of time on the quantity of a resource which might initially have appeared bountiful and in plentiful supply. As physics professor Albert Bartlett puts it in his talk on exponential growth and resource consumption: “The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.”

    I am going to snip below an example Professor Bartlett uses in his lecture on exponential growth to show how the limits to exponential growth patterns in a finite environment don’t clearly make themselves evident until it is almost too late to do anything about it, or a crisis is almost inevitable. Keep in mind when following this example that world oil consumption has been increasing on average around 2% per year for the last 15 years giving a consumption doubling time of 35 years. If due to the increased demand coming from China, India etc., the annual increase in world consumption went from 2% to 3%, then the doubling time would be down to 23.3 years. A 4% annual increase in world consumption would mean the doubling time would drop to 17.5 years. (To find the doubling time divide the number 70 by the annual percentage increase).

    Here is Professor Bartlett’s example:

    Bacteria grow by doubling. One bacterium divides to become two, the two divide to become 4, the 4 become 8, 16 and so on. Suppose we had bacteria that doubled in number this way every minute. Suppose we put one of these bacteria into an empty bottle at 11:00 in the morning, and then observe that the bottle is full at 12:00 noon. There’s our case of just ordinary steady growth: it has a doubling time of one minute, it’s in the finite environment of one bottle.

    I want to ask you three questions. Number one: at what time was the bottle half full? Well, would you believe 11:59, one minute before 12:00? Because they double in number every minute.

    And the second question: if you were an average bacterium in that bottle, at what time would you first realise you were running of space? Well, let’s just look at the last minutes in the bottle. At 12:00 noon, it’s full; one minute before, it’s half full; 2 minutes before, it’s a quarter full; then an 1?8th; then a 1?16th. Let me ask you, at 5 minutes before 12:00, when the bottle is only 3% full and is 97% open space just yearning for development, how many of you would realise there’s a problem?

    SNIP

    Well, suppose that at 2 minutes before 12:00, some of the bacteria realise they’re running out of space, so they launch a great search for new bottles. They search offshore on the outer continental shelf and in the overthrust belt and in the Arctic, and they find three new bottles. Now that’s an incredible discovery, that’s three times the total amount of resource they ever knew about before. They now have four bottles, before their discovery, there was only one. Now surely this will give them a sustainable society, won’t it?

    You know what the third question is: how long can the growth continue as a result of this magnificent discovery? Well, look at the score: at 12:00 noon, one bottle is filled, there are three to go; 12:01, two bottles are filled, there are two to go; and at 12:02, all four are filled and that’s the end of the line.

    Now, you don’t need any more arithmetic than this to evaluate the absolutely contradictory statements that we’ve all heard and read from experts who tell us in one breath we can go on increasing our rates of consumption of fossil fuels, in the next breath they say “Don’t worry, we will always be able to make the discoveries of new resources that we need to meet the requirements of that growth.”

    http://globalpublicmedia.com/transcripts/645

    If you have a high speed connection and Real Player installed on your PC you can watch Professor Bartlett’s presentation here (downloadable audio MP3 also available):
    http://globalpublicmedia.com/dr_albert_bartlett_arithmetic_population_and_energy

    I also recommend people watch the DVD “Money As Debt” ) (http://www.moneyasdebt.net ), as it explains how our debt based/fractional reserve monetary systems force us into economic systems that need perpetual growth in order to stave off economic collapse. If you have a high speed connection you can also watch it on line at Google Video:

    http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=5352106773770802849

    “One thing to realize about our fractional reserve banking system is that, like a child’s game of musical chairs, as long as the music is playing, there are no losers.”

    Andrew Gause, Monetary Historian
    http://paulgrignon.netfirms.com/MoneyasDebt/references.htm

    Also people can take a look at the website http://www.steadystate.org which promotes the idea that we need to get off this perpetual growth pattern as it is not sustainable (in spite of what the economists tell us) in the finite world we happen to inhabit.

    Why is economic growth a threat to economic sustainability, national security, and international stability?

    To grow, an economy requires more natural capital, including soil, water, minerals, timber, other raw materials, and energy sources. When the economy grows too fast or gets too big, this natural capital is depleted, or “liquidated.” To function smoothly, the economy also requires an environment that can absorb and recycle pollutants. When natural capital stocks are depleted, and/or the capacity of the environment to absorb pollutants is exceeded, the economy is forced to shrink.

    National security, meanwhile, is a function of economic sustainability. The economic strife of a nation may result in insurrection or revolution, and eventually the nation-state may turn its agressions outward. From the Nazi doctrine of Lebensraum to the 21st century powder kegs, war invariably involves, and often revolves around, struggles for resources by nations that have exceeded their ecological capacities – or have had their capacities impacted by other states.

    Can’t technology alleviate the threat of economic growth?

    Some economists think that, because a particular production process can become more efficient (more output per unit of natural capital), there is no limit to economic growth. These economists and “technological optimists” are disregarding the second law of thermodynamics, the entropy law, which tells us that we cannot achieve 100% efficiency in the economic production process. When the entropy law is applied across all economic sectors, or in other words when the limits to efficiency have been reached, the only remaining way to grow the economy is by using more natural capital (including energy).

    Remember: to think there is no limit to growth on a finite planet is precisely, mathematically equivalent to thinking that you may have a stabilized, steady state economy on a perpetually shrinking planet. Both claims are precisely, equally ludicrous! (my emphasis /GM)

    http://www.steadystate.org/CASSEFAQs.html#anchor_83

    Finally, to understand why the switch to alternative energy and alternative fuel sources as a replacement for high EROEI (energy returned on energy invested), energy dense, and versatile petroleum is not a simple matter, here are “Nine Critical Questions to Ask About Alternative Energy”:

    Nine Critical Questions to Ask About Alternative Energy

    May 27, 2003, 1400 PDT (FTW) — Before we instantly accept alternative energy lifeboats that will let us keep our current lifestyles, don’t you think it wise to see if they float?

    Here are nine questions that you must ask of yourself, and anyone who claims that they have found a perfect alternative to oil. After answering these questions, you may have a better idea about whether you want to jump (or throw your family) into something that might sink in short order.

    Deluding yourself that the energy problem has been solved only guarantees that the crisis will hit you and the planet much harder in the end.

    http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ww3/052703_9_questions.html

    See also Why Hydrogen is no Solution at:
    http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ww3/081803_hydrogen_answers.html

    And The Paradox of Production at:
    http://thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com/2008/03/paradox-of-production.html

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // May 1, 2008 at 8:56 AM

    Well bush tea, while I do not share your bleak assessment about future consumption possibilities, it is an argument with its own merits and should not be dismissed out of hand. A number of well respected commentators would agree with you.

    I would suggest a read of the article “Food Prices and Malthusian Economics–Posner’s Comment” on the Becker-Posner blog, for some different perspectives on your argument. http://www.becker-posner-blog.com/archives/2008/04/food_prices_and_1.html This is one of the most popular economics blogs.

    The basic point of my article is that the issues of energy efficiency and alternative energy have assumed a level of urgency around the world that I do not see in Bim.

    The financial services sector is not exactly known for “greenness’, but the fact that they have moved to offering green financial products as mentioned in the article is one example of the urgency attached to the issue.

    Germany, not exactly known for sunshine, began investing heavily in solar in the year 2000. By 2007 reports suggested that Germany’s photovoltaic systems were generating about 3,000 megawatts of power — 1,000 times more than in 1990. Solar power has also become a major industry generating over 25,000 jobs.

    http://www.boston.com/news/world/europe/articles/2007/07/30/cloudy_germany_unlikely_hotspot_for_solar_power/

    Just about every major university around the world has launched a green campus initiative in recent years. The Harvard university green initiative is one of the most extensive and well known.
    http://www.greencampus.harvard.edu/

    Major companies and NGOs around the world have established “green committees” to improve the energy efficiency and sustainability of their organizations.

    Despite our high level of development and sophistication, I do not see a similar level of urgency here in Bim.

    I guess I am being idealistic and hoping that in some tiny way I can kick start a larger discussion and hopefully some urgency on the issue.

  • David // May 1, 2008 at 9:33 AM

    Linchh we agree with your submission 100%. In rebuttal maybe we need to clarify that when we talk of Barbadians we are doing so as a collective i.e.government, NGOs and other important organs in the country. Regretablely we are observing these organs behaving in a manner NOT to influence national behaviour.

  • Bush tea // May 1, 2008 at 10:45 AM

    OK Doc, your perspective is taken. However after a read of the post by Green Monkey are you not concerned that we are in the last minute of that bottle analogy?

    I am not saying that the earth will explode, but certainly life as we knew it for the last 40 years IS NOT SUSTAINABLE.

    There has never been a time like this in history. Not on this scale. Such magnitude of change cannot but have repercussions of biblical proportions.

    The reason that Barbados has not made any serious moves to diversify out energy philosophy is simple…. There has been no kind of real leadership in Barbados since Errol Barrow.

    Our ‘leaders’ have been and continue to be jokers who cannot even successfully manage their own personal lives, far less a complex national infrastructure.

    Can you see anyone on Light & Power’s management standing for anything that represents the slightest risk? or that has not been done by everyone else already?

    There are many reasons for this, including a misdirected education system, a general lack of self confidence and no real guidance from our educated (thinking?) elite. (you and Profs Howard and Downes possibly excepted)

    Had we been WISE enough say 25 years ago after the first oil crisis, and taken serious steps to develop the kind of initiatives that you now espouse, we would now be in a much better position to survive the next few years.

    I seem to recall that Prof Headley single handedly attempted to demonstrate the viability of Solar energy as an option for Barbados… what assistance did he get from UWI? and what happened after he died?

    … but as you say, I am a pessimist (I think a realist who REALLY understand what is happening to our world).

    I certainly hope that I will be proved wrong in this case…. it would be a pleasant failing for Bush tea.

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // May 1, 2008 at 11:12 AM

    One thing we can do is to take the democracy beyond voting in elections and calmly accepting changes of government.

    We can now take the democracy to the level of actively lobbying governments, ngos and the private sector to act on issues of importance.

    I have no doubt that the green financial products are largely a response to an active citizenry.

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // May 1, 2008 at 11:45 AM

    Many now accept the view that industrialization, high consumption, wasteful production, population growth, and lack of regulatory controls on disposal all place extraordinary pressures on life supporting
    resources.

    If that is your point we do not really hold radically different positions. I fully agree that we may be at a point where it cannot be business as usual.

    My issue is what can we as a society do to respond to the challenges that have arisen. There is no magic bullet, but surely we must begin to build a coalition, consensus and energy to take the steps we can.

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // May 1, 2008 at 11:47 AM

    The demands of sustainability require that we change all areas of production, consumption and organization.

    • Sustainability is a moving target
    Therefore we need to be skilled in the process of change itself
    • Develop individual change agent capacities
    • Establish learning organization capacities
    • Engage in continuous adaptation as individuals and organizations

    This is no easy task and I hope my language does not sound too academic

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // May 1, 2008 at 12:13 PM

    Oh by the way, Green monkey and Bush tea, history has taught us not to be too dismissive of the role of technology and human ingenuity in solving our problems.

  • Sam Gamgee // May 1, 2008 at 2:54 PM

    If it is all I can say BU is that this thread is one of the best I have ever followed here, and you are way more reasonable/fair than the other one which shall remain nameless.
    I am hoping for the best and trying to make adjustments but this may also mean that I have to limit my time on the internet as well. After all it is all consumption.
    I believe that until we as a race are forced to stop or reduce our consumption, we will continue to consume, consume, consume regardles of the cost.
    Indeed, we tend to want to let people believe that we are better off than them hence the need for various types of cars, houses, divorces, private schools, private jets and the list could go on.
    I maintain that what makes us the same are unchangeable while what may make us diferent is just superficial.
    It is obviously not going to be an easy time in the next few years. Oil is not unlimited like air.

  • Donald Duck, Esq // May 1, 2008 at 9:50 PM

    We need the Electric company and the state oil company to let us know on a weekly basis what our energy consumption is. We should set targets for a reduction of say 10 to 20% and see if the country is achieving it.

  • Bush tea // May 1, 2008 at 10:18 PM

    Dr Robinson,

    I am keen to come on board with you in the hope that strong action on greening and conservation can be instituted in Barbados. I will also play my part – honestly.

    But I happen to be aware that far from solving mankind’s problems, technology has in fact been the main catalyst of many of the major problems that we face as a civilization.

    …I will grant you that scientists have created some outstanding technologies that has positively impacted on our lives… as to whether or not they actually solved ‘problems’ is another matter. This would require clarification of exactly what the ‘problem’ that was being addressed was…

    However you package it Doc, it is extremely difficult to dismiss Green Monkeys analysis which suggest that we are sitting on the deck of the Titanic, speculating about the water rising below deck -while reassuring ourselves that the vessel was advertised as ‘unsinkable’…

    …what ever good intentions we now pursue, and however earnest our efforts, the die has been cast….

    …Now if only we had steered a different course 25 years ago – before we struck the iceberg….

  • Birdpickmango // May 1, 2008 at 11:05 PM

    RE:PDC BLOG
    History is replete of examples where the character of the society is tested by adversities of all types, some internal, others external. It is oil today. Tomorrow it may be the devastation of a hurricane. There is always a change in behavior since survival is instinctive. You may therefore find that being Euro centric, if that means to be thrifty, cheap and conservative could be one adjustment strategy. We may hopefully learn that it is wrong to respond to the post independence period by defining ourselves by the cars we drive or our houses. Worse yet, using the images of American TV as banners of achievement. The standard of living and quality of life of many Barbadians today are better than many in the USA and Canada. No amount of words can change that. The situation be comes and opportunity for maturity and growth if only we focus on the points made by David and Samgee. Between 1961 and 2000, changes and expansion of the educational plant, teacher training and curriculum etc have altered the rate and profile of young people entering the job market. Initially, as the school leaving age changed, few students enter the job market. Because of their higher qualifications their expectations are greater. There was no planned nexus between curriculum and job creation. The principle that drove this movement was the fact that there is positive link between economic growth and the level of education in the society.
    So here we now have the need for contraction intersecting with high expectations. This fact makes David point real. It also raises two other issues as we go forward. Shouldn’t the University of West Indies put in place programs that will in time of crises show governments why they should continue to fund them; and what if we convert six of our secondary schools to Apprentice Schools of Business skills so that graduates of these schools will be equipped with the type of skills that they could at worse start they own business.

  • politically incorrect // May 1, 2008 at 11:27 PM

    By the Way Folks: The handle is:

    Politically IN Correct NOT Politically correct.

    Thank you!

    “When big men talking, little boys should shut up and know their place”.

    PDC’s exhaustive analysis of the “global powerplays” and the ruthless machinations of the players is an expose. However, preaching to the converted and shouting at the wind is wasting your breath………..not obfuscating the facts.

    The big boys are struggling for control and the small boys in “Bim” have not secured their place so they will be knocked about as it suit the big boys. This is not the first time Barbados has been the ball in the cricket ground.

    Recent documentary put out by CBC Canada (not televised in Barbados but available on the internet) regarding sugar brought out the “obfuscated” point that Barbados was retained by the British Empire because of its sugar production and Quebec was traded to the French Government.

    Errol Barrow has been televized in Barbados as having said in the pre-independence discussions that at that time Barbados was more than self-sufficient. Between those days and today Barbados for all the concrete and international awards has been reduced to a state of mendicants.

    Where has the wealth gone? If not buying up, grabbing hold of all kinds of spurious technologies that have nothing to do with the people in The Orleans.

    Bush Tea:

    You speak of unsustainability. What are you personally doing in your private life to practise any of what you are pontificating about? Did you sell the SUV recently? How many bicycles are there in your house that you could ride?

    Many people willing to pontificate but I don’t see anybody riding bicyle into town that could afford an SUV. Circumstances will soon change that. Maybe you are a visionary.

    As to those people whose grey matter has not atrophied and are still able to add two and two. Answer me this: how many days will it take for every Barbadian to be hungry and all the concrete they have only be able to bury them? Beggars can’t be choosers. Whether you begging the IMF or you begging your partner in primary school. The last time it was the civil service that took an eight percent cut. Seems like the next time it will be more widespread but some people are “obfuscating” and ignoring the truth and some people are juxtapositioning to take advantage of those who are less fortunate. Promising them all kind of “Greens”. The fact is you cannot get blood from stone and all the more from concrete.

    I hear talk that you all selling the cement plant to build hotel rooms. For who?

  • Micro-Mock Engineer // May 2, 2008 at 5:58 AM

    Bush Tea,

    What Iceberg What?!?

    Put back on your engineer hat for a minute or two…

    Technology is a two-edged sword and may have facilitated many of the “major problems” we face today, but do you honestly believe that when weighed in the balance mankind is worse off today than in past centuries as a result of technological advances and innovation?

    Arguing that things are better today than in days gone by is an impossible task, as “better” is subjective and means different things to different people. So, rather than list facts like:
    ~ longer life-expectancy
    ~ lower child mortality
    ~ elimination of disease (..and don’t come with “well we got AIDS and cancer”, caus these pale in comparison to bubonic plague, small pox, influenza… now dem was real diseases! …all of which technology conquered. Solutions to today’s and tomorrow’s diseases, are on the way)
    ~ mass housing and transit systems etc. etc. etc.

    …I prefer to comment on the apocalyptic bent of our species. The doom-and-gloom theme doesn’t change, but the story varies depending on which side of the fence you sit. The left preaches global warming and collapse of our ecosystem if we don’t act now to curb our “evil” consumerist ways. The right continue their “four horsemen”, “false gods”, change-your-ways-or get-”left behind” rant.

    “What die-has-been-cast, what?!?”

    At every turn in our history, whenever things have gotten hard, or our belief systems have been threatened, or a great deal of uncertainty abounded, we have have descended further into the apocalyptic well, only coming back up for brief periods when our worse fears did not materialize.

    My prediction… things will get rough as oil supplies diminish, and it may take a while for us to adapt, but adapt we will… identifying and implementing new and innovative solutions and enjoying, in general, even better health, life-expectancy and environmental conditions than exist today.

    But maybe I am wrong, and after thousands of false apocalyptic predictions, like Sandford used to say “This is the big one Elizabeth!”. If this is the case, I offer two possible causes for our imminent doom:

    ~ Adopting a defeatist attitude to problems that our engineers are perfectly capable of solving

    ~ Depending on preachers, lawyers and politicians to come up with the solutions

  • Dr. Justin Robinson // May 2, 2008 at 10:27 AM

    I have often found that the Europeans and scandanivians in particular are way ahead on these issues and provide better models that say the US or the UK, where we often seem to look for models.

    Yale university publishes and environmental protection index which shows how different countries are doing.

    epi.yale.edu/

    Unfortunately we are not ranked.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 2, 2008 at 3:29 PM

    Do we not believe the Money as Debt video that GM gave us? It shows where the massive use of energy and consumption is coming from. Do we not believe Dr.Elizabeth Warren in yet another GM supplied video, …..A demonstration of where we are spending most of our money and why we use so much credit? I do as i also believe that those Bajans who live in homes paid for a long time ago like my sisters and brothers, will have much more leeway in weathering these current economic uncertainties than those of us who have mortgages, two car notes, higher taxes, higher health care cost etc. have.

    Money as Debt.
    http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=5352106773770802849

    Middleclass spending is not what you think

    http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

    Energy conservation is good, although i believe the current approach “green” is more about profit than conservation.

  • Ian Walcott // May 2, 2008 at 4:26 PM

    “It is regretable when our educated cannot critique based on value positions but instead expose the polarization which continue to exist in Barbados at a time when a bi-partisan approach is required. Are you the same Ian Walcott who was fired from the NCF?”

    Actually, my position was very much a value-laden position and had nothing to do with partisanship…a careful read would show that I spoke of the implementation deficit in the whole Caribbean as we so aptly discussed at the recent SALISES conferences in Chaguaramas 2007 and Mona 2008. This implementation deficit not only affects the energy sector but all areas of productivity and social policy within the region.
    A further reading between the lines would also show that it was more than subtle…that should the present administration address such an implementation deficit…they’d stand a chance of more than one term…(Which I doubt they will, less we forget the horrors of the early 90s).
    And for those who are bent on getting personal and hiding behind pseudonyms…yes this is Ian Walcott who worked at the NCF…and let’s go on record that he was not fired…but resigned…AFTER ALL…CAN U IMAGINE WAKING UP ONE MORNING AND STEVE BLACKETT IS THE MINISTER OF CULTURE…
    IPSO FACTO…some of us have choices…and living under this bunch of jokers is not my choice…

  • Janice Griffith // May 2, 2008 at 6:23 PM

    I would like some one to tell me if some one or some organization is working on bringing in solar powered air-conditioned units
    in Barbados. If there is I would like to know how soon this will happen.

  • David // May 2, 2008 at 6:24 PM

    Ian Walcott we are not sure you identified the failings of Minister Blackett. So far your comments suggest some pre-judgement at play. Of course this is your prerogative but we must tell you it conflicts with how an intelligent person should dispassionately approach decision making.

  • Straight talk // May 2, 2008 at 7:05 PM

    Janice:

    Just google “solar powered air comditioning”
    and pick the system to suit.

  • Straight talk // May 2, 2008 at 7:12 PM

    Sorry Carl, obviously that should have been “conditioning” to which I have an aversion.

    Freudian slips apart, we need to check out solar ovens to give the most disadvantaged in our society the gift of a free energy hot meal per day.

    The last time I checked they cost US$29 each, less than a gas bottle.

    That is something positive for our engineers and government to throw their weight behind for the common good.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 2, 2008 at 7:41 PM

    Ian Walcott // May 2, 2008 at 4:26 pm

    “It is regretable when our educated cannot critique based on value positions but instead expose the polarization which continue to exist in Barbados at a time when a bi-partisan approach is required. Are you the same Ian Walcott who was fired from the NCF?”

    Actually, my position was very much a value-laden position and had nothing to do with partisanship…a careful read would show that I spoke of the implementation deficit in the whole Caribbean as we so aptly discussed at the recent SALISES conferences in Chaguaramas 2007 and Mona 2008. This implementation deficit not only affects the energy sector but all areas of productivity and social policy within the region.
    A further reading between the lines would also show that it was more than subtle…that should the present administration address such an implementation deficit…they’d stand a chance of more than one term…(Which I doubt they will, less we forget the horrors of the early 90s).
    And for those who are bent on getting personal and hiding behind pseudonyms…yes this is Ian Walcott who worked at the NCF…and let’s go on record that he was not fired…but resigned…AFTER ALL…CAN U IMAGINE WAKING UP ONE MORNING AND STEVE BLACKETT IS THE MINISTER OF CULTURE…
    IPSO FACTO…some of us have choices…and living under this bunch of jokers is not my choice…
    =================================

    HA HA HA HA HA. David can’t you understand that it is not about being partisan? It is now about not working in a GOVERNMENT run organization that is under the Ministerial oversight of Steve Blackett. Before that, it was about leaving Barbados if David Thompson became the PM. One wonders why it took the coming into office of a bunch of “Jokers” for him to exercise his choice. :D Well uh ain’t really wondering. The silliness uh some uh dese “Ivy league high school scholars”……..
    …but David!…what for you determines or defines an intelligent person? Is it on attaining a paper trophy only? or do you vet their continued entitlement to such a label by their ongoing actions and statements? :D

  • David // May 2, 2008 at 8:20 PM

    Adrian we would have thought that all educated Barbadians whether B or D would unite to pool resources to help Barbados stave off some of the challenges which loom. In fact we thought that one is a Barbadian first and any other label can follow. After reading Mr. Walcott’s comment we can only question if our people have failed education. But the truth is as he stated it is his prerogative.

  • Bush Tea // May 2, 2008 at 8:31 PM

    Well, well, Micro Mock Engineer….

    You really hit Bush tea for six there. I am at a loss for words.

    You got me real vex, but I like I agree with the things that you are saying…. so I concede….

    … about the impact of technology though, there is a subtile difference between the plague or black death and the current global issues which threaten the very VIABILITY of life on our planet.

    The all-out exploitation of the limited stock of fossil fuels in a selfish thrust for the kind of development that we have seen, has not been in the best long term interests of humanity.

    It would have been far better to have used those assets to develop and establish a long term sustainable strategy and settling for a more conservative development path.

    Politically Incorrect,

    … All I will tell you is that Bush tea has been personally concerned about the direction that we have been traveling for decades now.
    Suffice it to say that I am more than satisfied with the preparations that I have put in place.

    HOWEVER, it is clear that we are all on a big boat together, so….
    What preparations what?!?
    What steps can a lone passenger take? Do you think that it will be tolerable to have things in place while watching family, friends, neighbors, and even enemies suffer?

    …. at the very best we may have some ’survivors’ but there will be no winners.

    The REAL issue for Bush tea though, is that the question of surviving this difficult period is neither here or there.

    As I was explaining to Straight talk some time ago, there is a VERY specific purpose for the whole experience called ‘life on earth’.

    The conclusion of this ‘Earth’ project is imminent and, much like the pains of pregnancy heralds a beautiful new baby, the coming difficulties can be see by those who understand the work of the BIG BOSS ENGINEER as a new beginning to look forward to…
    … seen from this perspective, the term ’survival’ takes on a completely different meaning….

  • David // May 3, 2008 at 6:07 AM

    Bush tea what BIG BOSS ENGINEER theory what!?!

    Despite you best communication on this matter how many people have bought in to it? You like you need Sir Carl ‘too much noise’ Moore to give you some tips!

  • Green Monkey // May 3, 2008 at 8:02 AM

    Dr. Justin Robinson // May 1, 2008 at 12:13 pm:

    Oh by the way, Green monkey and Bush tea, history has taught us not to be too dismissive of the role of technology and human ingenuity in solving our problems.

    And history has also taught us that the established pattern is for civilizations to rise and fall in cycles. Before our present time there have been many civilizations which have risen from humble beginnings to reach a peak in complexity, prosperity and technological ability (for their time) while at the same time carelessly or unknowingly destroying the very resources that made their advancement possible, thereby ensuring and making inevitable their subsequent collapse.

    The Last Americans
    Environmental Collapse and the End of Civilization

    JARED DIAMOND / Harper’s Magazine Jun03

    One of the disturbing facts of history is that so many civilizations collapse. Few people, however, least of all our politicians, realize that a primary cause of the collapse of those societies has been the destruction of the environmental resources on which they depended. Fewer still appreciate that many of those civilizations share a sharp curve of decline. Indeed, a society’s demise may begin only a decade or two after it reaches its peak population, wealth, and power.

    Recent archaeological discoveries have revealed similar courses of collapse in such otherwise dissimilar ancient societies as the Maya in the Yucatán, the Anasazi in the American Southwest, the Cahokia mound builders outside St. Louis, the Greenland Norse, the statue builders of Easter Island, ancient Mesopotamia in the Fertile Crescent, Great Zimbabwe in Africa, and Angkor Wat in Cambodia. These civilizations, and many others, succumbed to various combinations of environmental degradation and climate change, aggression from enemies taking advantage of their resulting weakness, and declining trade with neighbors who faced their own environmental problems. Because peak population, wealth, resource consumption, and waste production are accompanied by peak environmental impact—approaching the limit at which impact outstrips resources—we can now understand why declines of societies tend to follow swiftly on their peaks.

    These combinations of undermining factors were compounded by cultural attitudes preventing those in power from perceiving or resolving the crisis. That’s a familiar problem today. Some of us are inclined to dismiss the importance of a healthy environment, or at least to suggest that it’s just one of many problems facing us—an “issue.” That dismissal is based on three dangerous misconceptions.

    SNIP

    Another popular misconception is that we can trust in technology to solve our problems. Whatever environmental problem you name, you can also name some hoped-for technological solution under discussion. Some of us have faith that we shall solve our dependence on fossil fuels by developing new technologies for hydrogen engines, wind energy, or solar energy. Some of us have faith that we shall solve our food problems with new or soon-to-be-developed genetically modified crops. Some of us have faith that new technologies will succeed in cleaning up the toxic materials in our air, water, soil, and foods without the horrendous cleanup expenses that we now incur.

    Those with such faith assume that the new technologies will ultimately succeed, but in fact some of them may succeed and others may not. They assume that the new technologies will succeed quickly enough to make a big difference soon, but all of these major technological changes will actually take five to thirty years to develop and implement—if they catch on at all. Most of all, those with faith assume that new technology won’t cause any new problems. In fact, technology merely constitutes increased power, which produces changes that can be either for the better or for the worse. All of our current environmental problems are unanticipated harmful consequences of our existing technology. There is no basis for believing that technology will miraculously stop causing new and unanticipated problems while it is solving the problems that it previously produced.

    http://www.mindfully.org/Heritage/2003/Civilization-Collapse-EndJun03.htm

    Note for Adrian Hinds. Adrian, the link you gave in a post above to a thread or article at Democraticunderground.com is broken. I think it might be because the DU board truncates the links as they are displayed on a page to keep them short and from running off the page, so If you just copy and paste the link as shown it will be truncated. However, if you right click on the link as shown on the DU page and select “Copy link location” (in Firefox) or “Copy shortcut” in (Internet Explorer) then you can get the full link to paste somewhere else.

  • Ian Walcott // May 3, 2008 at 12:08 PM

    Justin:
    Back to the energy issue! In 2002 when I was lecturing on the Masters program in Project Management at Cave Hill, my students of the day devised an excellent strategy for traffic management that took our energy consumption into consideration.
    The approach was a three pronged one that looked at addressing the legislative, normative and infrastructural frameworks in an effort to tackle the issue.
    It would have meant examining working hours, legislating car pooling, the use of the ABC highway, rationing of cars per household, public campaigns and of course, a reexamination of our infrastructure.
    This was obviously done against a backdrop of Strategic Project Planning and Interventions using the Logframe Exercise.
    Though this was very much an academic exercise, it showed me that our students/citizens are very capable of finding solutions…
    Again, I am arguing that the issue therefore is not one of finding solutions…rather one of implementing them.
    Let me give you a real example from my days in Foreign Affairs and as a student in Brazil.
    After the 1970s oil crisis, Brazil successfully developed ethanol to run a significant portion of their automobile fleet. Today, all of the intial engineering kinks have been ironed out and this is a very successful program.
    Follow me. The Brazilian government has been friendly with African and Caribbean nations since the early 1970s in its quest to gain regional hegemonic power…
    Since 1990, I’ve personally known every single Brazilian Ambassador to Barbados, including the dynamic Ambassador Orlando Galveas who is the current one…
    For close to 20 years, Brazil has been willing and bending over backwards to work with us at developing our ethanol industry as a means to reduce our reliance on petroleum…THE TECHNOLOGY EXISTS, WE HAVE A WILLING PARTNER…but nothing has happened.
    This is the implementation deficit that I speak of…
    It’s useless criticizing the elected officials because they’re as fast and efficient as the Civil Service will allow them to be.
    I’ve sat through meetings with Owen Arthur, both as a Foreign Service Officer and official of NCF and listened to him literally beg civil servants to “make it happen.” Day after day he implored them to “lose their fear and make decisions.”
    Instead we continue to drag our feet.
    Emelia Selezar, the former Ambassador to Barbados from Costa Rica, lamented the fact that proposals for cooperation sent from her government were largely ignored and nothing happened to implement the agreements on paper…
    We seem satisfied to quote statistics that speak of “X” amount of agreements and treaties…when they’re not being operationalized…
    Here are the six guiding principles of the regional Science & Technology Policy:
    1.Environmental protection
    2.Develop skilled human resources
    3.Focus on Caribbean agriculture and industry to enable rapid adjustment to technological changes
    4. Enable environment for development, exchange and effective use of technology
    5. Ensure most cost-effective methods of acquiring and using technology developed and available within and outside the region
    6. Preserve and enrich the cultural heritage of regions’ peoples.

    Within these broad principles there is sufficient scope for sectoral linkages between Science and Technology and an overarching Energy Policy…
    Justin, this was done since 1994…and the list goes on…
    We need to urgently address the ‘disconnect’ between policy, implementation and HR capacity.
    It’s perhaps most unfortunate that successive governments have not used the resources of UWI more strategically…but this is another discussion for another day.

  • Bush tea // May 3, 2008 at 12:09 PM

    My dear David,

    re Big Boss Engineer theory

    The correctness, relevance or veracity of a theory is in no way proportional to the number of persons who understand or ‘buy into’ that theory.
    (in fact, in a world where Liz can win an international environmental award, the opposite may be true)

    ….but what is important is “he who laughs last…”

  • Janice Griffith // May 3, 2008 at 12:35 PM

    Dear STRAIGHT TALK -
    Re Solar powered Air-Condition Units
    Purchasing is only one side of the coin – there must also be some one to service the systems after you purchase them.

  • David // May 3, 2008 at 3:42 PM

    Ian Walcott we compliment you on your suggestion which has some merit. The problem we find though with some of the action items you have articulated is the extent the cultural aspects of the Barbados landscape is being factored. For example: Any forward thinking government who is desirous of moving to the beat of the global drum needs to respond outside of the civil service structure. The civil service is a bureaucracy by its design and with good reason. Perhaps it might explain why the former Prime Minister attempted to navigate outside of th civil service by using ‘consultants’.

    BTW can you get your friend Kim Young to contribute. Barbados must have their bright sparks on board.

  • Straight talk // May 3, 2008 at 5:16 PM

    Janice:

    Servicing Air Con units.

    There is nothing magical about solar technology.
    The basics of the system are the same whatever the power source, if anything solar AC should be simpler to maintain, especially some of the new models designed in Australia.

  • Birdpickmango // May 3, 2008 at 9:15 PM

    David and Ian,
    There are several good reasons why good ideas are left undone. Foremost, part of our culture is the blame game – when things work out well it is I who did it, and when things go wrong it is always dem. It is not natural for us to first seek agreement or acknowledged achievement. Consequently we often do it better than others only when we have seen it done or like the current situation, when our backs are against the wall.
    Organization development or the act of creating is a deliberate skill that can be taught. Whydid the nation grow while other attempts failed?
    As far back as 1977 I argued publicly that making strategic adjustments to the sources that generate traffic would be more cost effective than simply widening the roads even though such activity has economic benefits.
    The roadblock was the political will be it oppositon,Trade Union or business community. While we have several examples of successive governments continuing projects of each other, we don’t seem to have the climate that exist in Bermuda or Japan where some things are done in the national interest. In the late seventies Japan adopted a ” quality approach” that was championed by public sector, private sector and trade unions with a view to getting their products into the international market. The japanese worker who came to the Caribbean to install equipment argued that the more money his country recieved the more money he will get. He didn’t consider himself a slave. In Bermuda, a place where many of our politicians have surely visited, the number of cars per family is limited. Furthermore the speeding by taxi drivers in order to get another job is prohibited and there is a collective effort by all to get visitors to leave with empty pockets.
    If tomorrow a 24hour high quality air conditioned bus service is introduced together with a seven ‘o, clock start by service workers,
    8.30 start by schools and a 9.30 start by others, the flow of traffic and energy saving would be tremendous. But who will be willing to bell the cat? We will complain and blame government but will not be willing to put our Mercedes and travel on the same bus as the gardener. It is kind of bad taste that slavery has left in our mouth. However it does have to remain so. Perhaps this is why living in a big society is the greatest leveller.
    Justin and Ian. Maybe you can explain why there is reluctance by UWI to examine and for public education sake,publish our successfull local models like the Nation, COWWilliams, Solar Dynamics, CreditUnions, the rum shop, the fish sellers at Oistins to name a few.
    Lest we forget in the past the worker reaped the crop and others enjoyed fruits of their labor. It is time that we all recognize that we have a vested interest if only for our childrens sake.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 4, 2008 at 3:13 AM

    David // May 3, 2008 at 3:42 pm

    Ian Walcott we compliment you on your suggestion which has some merit. The problem we find though with some of the action items you have articulated is the extent the cultural aspects of the Barbados landscape is being factored. For example: Any forward thinking government who is desirous of moving to the beat of the global drum needs to respond outside of the civil service structure. The civil service is a bureaucracy by its design and with good reason. Perhaps it might explain why the former Prime Minister attempted to navigate outside of th civil service by using ‘consultants’.

    =================================

    David what is being suggested here has been in the public space for some time and most likely has it’s origins from ordinary Barbadians base on their travels abroad, but never the less, it is good to hear that our University students can realize potential solutions to our problems, even if they are best practices elsewhere. What i gathered from Walcott’s comments, is that he thinks that Barbados is far advance in realizing the ideas it need to resolve several issues it faces, and that the problem is with implementation, specifically with those repsonsible for getting it done (civil service.) This is a view that i can agree with. You seem to agree as well and appears willing, to suggest that there may be merit, in the Arthur strategy, of consultant hiring. I am not ready to make that leap with you, as i have not yet seen the evidence, to persuade me away from the view, that these consultant hires, by the last government where political, and personal in nature, and some instances acts of welfare.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 4, 2008 at 3:42 AM

    This guy Ian Walcott continues to confuse me. Now at the risk of being accuse, yet again, of “getting or being personal” I am seeking clarity on a number of comments emanating from him, here and else where.

    …..It is known that sometime before the Jan 15th election, that he said, he had no intentions of living in Barbados if Thompson became the PM and would probably leave if he did. It seems he have made good on that, and is justified in his actions, with statements like:

    “All in all…this will be a one-term administration. That’s my agenda…”

    “Actually, my position was very much a value-laden position and had nothing to do with partisanship”

    “AFTER ALL…CAN U IMAGINE WAKING UP ONE MORNING AND STEVE BLACKETT IS THE MINISTER OF CULTURE…”

    “It’s useless criticizing the elected officials because they’re as fast and efficient as the Civil Service will allow them to be.”

    In all fairness i am also aware that he has question the practice of “nepotism” that he says, is evident in Government (under the BLP) and that Government and Barbados should move towards a meritocratic approach to governance.

    ….I detect some independence from both parties but also an arrogance and a condescending attitude towards Thompson and the DLP. If it is not simple partisanship, would he care to explain this?

  • Green Monkey // May 4, 2008 at 6:12 AM

    It’s the oil crisis of the Seventies back to haunt us

    By Eddie Hobbs, The Independent (Ireland)

    THERE’S been a lot of bull talked about a temporary little problem with oil. That’s why the OPEC president’s prediction last week that oil prices will rise to $200 a barrel especially if the dollar stays weak, will stun the Department of Finance. The piston in the National Development Plan is the assumption that oil would be $100 per barrel (42 gallons) by 2020. The Government’s big strategy, so clearly priced on pre-peak oil economics is already bog-roll, but, officially, the Government is sticking to the daft idea that our energy input costs will remain a constant for the next 12 years and plans to build an infrastructure for the oil age.

    Think of home heating and petrol prices doubling and consider the effects on your own net take-home pay when energy and motoring costs rise to absorb a chunk somewhere between 15 per cent and 20 per cent of average wages. Now consider the effects on the world’s fourth most dependent economy on imported oil and gas which already has a lousy record in integrated planning on everything from its health service, to decentralisation, to transport and tell me that the risk of the mother of all cock-ups isn’t on the cards.

    SNIP

    The evidence that we are at the foot of a prolonged period of undulating high inflation and which will last until dense and scalable alternatives to oil and gas become widespread ( unlikely to be any time soon /GM) is staring us in the face. At the time of Julius Caesar 400 million people lived on the planet. It took the next 17 centuries for the population to double. The injection of cheap energy 150 years ago from the exploitation of coal, oil and gas resources, fuelled industry, trade, transport and agriculture but also drove the population to over six billion. In more recent years the advent of globalisation, the internet, free trade and the collapse of communism, have created vast new markets and demand for natural resources from three billion new consumers who’ve emerged from fast-growing middle income economies, to claim their share of the pie.

    The most basic ingredient in economic growth is energy — without it nothing happens. Global demand for energy is set to double over the next 20 years but already in the oil market, where 86 million barrels of oil a day are produced there is a growing problem in matching burgeoning demand with limited supply. Demand from non-members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development is growing at 4 per cent yearly, dwarfing OECD demand growth some eightfold. In a few years the biggest users will be the oil-producing nations themselves who, as a block, will replace the USA as the world’s largest oil consumer.

    Continued at:
    http://www.independent.ie/opinion/analysis/its-the-oil-crisis-of-the-seventies-back-to-haunt-us-1366551.html

  • Adrian Hinds // May 4, 2008 at 10:14 AM

    1973 oil crisis
    From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
    Jump to: navigation, search

    Long-Term Oil Prices, 1861-2006 (orange line adjusted for inflation, black not adjusted).The 1973 oil crisis began on October 17, 1973, when the members of Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC, consisting of the Arab members of OPEC plus Egypt and Syria) announced, as a result of the ongoing Yom Kippur War, that they would no longer ship oil to nations that had supported Israel in its conflict with Syria and Egypt (the United States, its allies in Western Europe, and Japan).

    About the same time, OPEC members agreed to use their leverage over the world price-setting mechanism for oil in order to raise world oil prices, after the failure of negotiations with the “Seven Sisters” earlier in the month. Because of the dependence of the industrialized world on crude oil and the predominant role of OPEC as a global supplier, these price increases were dramatically inflationary to the economies of the targeted countries, while at the same time suppressive of economic activity. The targeted countries responded with a wide variety of new, and mostly permanent, initiatives to contain their further dependency.

    ===============================

    It seems to me that a return to the seventies oil crisis may not be so bad a thing. Yet somehow i don’t think this is occurring. But would admit that any more pressure on individuals take home pay where fix cost such as Mortgages, taxes, and credit card debt account for more than 60% , will decimate the middle class in many countries.

  • Micro-Mock Engineer // May 4, 2008 at 2:47 PM

    David,

    What does the popularity of a theory have to do with its validity? I am amazed at how often people try to judge right or wrong on the basis of public opinion. We ponder and analyze the results from poll after poll as though these somehow hold answers to the issues being polled. Public opinion is only relevant if you trying to win votes or sell somebody something. “One should respect public opinion in so far as it is necessary to avoid starvation and keep out of prison, but anything that goes beyond this is voluntary submission to an unnecessary tyranny – Bertrand Russel”.
    As far as BT’s Big Boss Engineer theory goes, lemme tell yuh, it mek far more sense than most of the other “meaning of life” theories being peddled today. Despite their tendency to romanticize the past, BT and Hoad remain two of my favorite local commentators.
    My main disagreement with BT is that he believes the “project” is now winding down when the reality is we still have lots of milestones to accomplish before BBE ready for us… new energy sources to harness, the convergence of biotechnology, nanotechnology and information technology, reverse engineering of the brain, interstellar travel… stay tuned, you aint seen nuttin yet, as we head for Singularity or that near vertical face on the exponential growth curve.
    The current energy crisis is the making of politicians and economists… two simple solutions to the high demand and price of oil, provided we can get past emotional public opinion: nuclear power and electric vehicles – so simple it aint funny. Save the oil (what remains) for special industry and niche applications.

  • Micro-Mock Engineer // May 4, 2008 at 10:25 PM

    Green Monkey

    Your comment re civilizations rising and falling and the Jared Diamond article ignore one important point… Succession. It is quite natural to interpret the collapse of complex sociocultural systems as tragic… after all, in the past this has OFTEN been associated with widespread loss of life and cultural stock… but, it has ALWAYS paved the way for more advanced and prosperous models of civilization. As indicated in an earlier post, I am well aware that words like “advanced” and “prosperous” are subjective, but by these I mean healthier, longer more peaceful lives with improved knowledge of ourselves and our universe. Nothing lasts forever, our sun is scheduled to retire in about another 5 billion years. On that note, I have another question for Bush tea: Why would our Project Manager design and build such a long-life power plant if the project only requires a few more years?

  • Bush tea // May 5, 2008 at 4:45 AM

    MME

    You are beginning to scare me….

    Bush tea is much more comfortable with critics than with supporters. All my experience has been with countering critics. You innovative tactical approach is confusing and off-putting.

    Am I to understand that you not only see sense in Bust tea’s theory of life on earth, but that you are going beyond that to speculate about the possibilities afterwards???

    Are you CRAZY?
    Do you want to run people from David’s blog? you want a riot?

    ….micro mock, that draft is to high. You ever heard of feeding pearls to swine?

    For the record, your “main disagreement” with me is no disagreement at all. What BT claims to be winding down is ‘project life on earth’ (as we know it). You think that I could even begin to hint at phase 2?

    What phase 2 what?!?

    David would give up my IP and you can bet that the same Task Force that cannot find the persons that threaten Adrian L will be at my door in 15 minutes…to haul my behind down Black Rock.

    …not me boo, … not till Tennyson Springer sort out them problems down there.

  • Ian Walcott // May 5, 2008 at 11:23 AM

    To BirdpickMango:

    On the issue of publishing about some of our best practices in Management…I’m happy to inform you that a lot of that is being done.
    As far back as 2002 while lecturing at UWI I had a weekly article in the Advocate’s Business Monday, called Management: Keep it real…
    One of the earlier articles dealt with the Oistins fish fry and why it was successful…in comparison to the demise of Baxter’s Road…
    Dr. Punnett has also been doing lots of research and is producing case studies…
    Dr. Paul Pounder and Ayanna Young just formed a research group on Entrepreneurship…
    so lots of stuff is happening as UWI is become more and more dynamic…
    Justin and Dr. Belle were in Brazil last year at the Caribbean Studies Association Conference in Bahia…some excellent research was presented…and they’re working quite diligently to sign exchange agreements with Brazil…at long last…
    To Adrian Hinds….
    I’m very much an independent and have only voted once in Barbados…I was too young in 86 and was in Bdos for the first election since then in January this year…and I placed my X for David Gill because of the kind of hands-on work he does in his constituency where my grandfather’s family and land have been for the last 200 years…Gill is one o’ we…
    However, in spite of where I place my “X”, I became very disenchanted with the last administration for a number or reasons publicly stated…and it was good that the people of Barbados fired Owen and the party…
    Now does this mean that we will retreat? No…it means that “we” will learn from our mistakes and come back stronger and better prepared…
    My nagging concern..and my personal academic research question is “why hasnt Barbados developed at a faster rate?”
    I’m still researching it…so dont ask me to give you the answers yet…because this will be subject to the highest level of academic rigor under the supervision of Dr. Don Marshall and Dr. Jonathan Lashley…
    What I can tell you is that having lived in Japan…and observed certain behaviors there…I know that we can achieve much more…
    To this question, I asked a Singaporean colleague of mine who resides in Barbados…”what is it that they did right?”
    Her answer was quite simple…she stated that when Lee Kuan Yew came to power…he made two promises and stuck to them…
    1. He will pay his politicians very well…
    2. He will put a meritocracy inn place….

    No mek sense outta dat…and tell me wha u tink….
    On the question of my attitude towards the DLP…here’s a response…
    Ask the new minister of culture to articulate our country’s cultural policy or creative economy policy…or ask him to define our country’s culture…
    Owen Arthur and Mia Mottley long recognized that Barbados cannot continue to run on a credit card, kiting checks or even a bounce chech (hahahahahaha)…somehow, we’ve manage that brand of small island economics successfully for the last few decades…
    But reform is necessary (and this is where I became disenchanted…because the Arthur Administration should have been an era of reform and it failed miserably)…
    Anyhow…so they turn to culture as the third pillar next to tourism and financial services…
    This is great on paper and has a lot of potential…
    The big quesiton is…will this new administration continue the drive or dismiss it…?
    Unfortunately, when we examine post independence policies and regimes…the facts are daunting against the DLP in terms of its track record on cultural development….
    There’s a lot more rhetoric…but successive BLP administrations have done more in culture in terms of expenditure and infrastructure…(I’m willing to stand up to any challenge on this point.)
    In terms of sectoral linkages…unfortunately both sides continue to miss this opportunity…
    SO AGAIN I SAY…the current oil crisis is a good test of wills…let’s see how they’ll manage.

  • Ian Walcott // May 5, 2008 at 11:24 AM

    Justin:

    Are yor going to the CSA Conference in Colombia? Let me know…

    Ian

  • Wishing in Vain // May 5, 2008 at 11:51 AM

    Ian Walcott Your comment on this site and your blogs on the blp site seem to vary vastly.

    Ian Walcott // May 3, 2008 at 5:11 pm

    We must see to it that this bunch of jokers are held accountable.
    Time to call in the troops for this will be a one-term government…
    So we’ve moved from close to full employment at the end of 2007 to the brink of recession after 100 days of a DLP government.

  • Ian Walcott // May 5, 2008 at 12:42 PM

    U dont understand that I is a BEE…and dat aint changing…I does still criticize dum…
    I stand by my anti-DLP comments and sentiments…

  • Ian Walcott // May 5, 2008 at 12:43 PM

    That us BEES have failed in many areas…yes we have…that I remain critical of the failure…yes I do…does this make me less of a BEE…no it does not…

  • Wishing in Vain // May 5, 2008 at 12:52 PM

    They sure did a lot of ill advised things such as stated below, it must take a very special guts to support a group that is as clearly dishonest as this bunch were proven to be.

    It seems the opposition and its leaders problems will just no go away, as taken from the blp blog today.

    ENJOY THE OPPOSITION AS THIS IS WHERE YOU DESERVE. // May 5, 2008 at 12:40 am

    Get used to the opposition, you have been put there by your own actions, remember the Prison , the 3S road works, the transfer of the Holders land, TIME IS LONGER THAN TWINE people, ARROGANCE AND COORUPTION WAS YOUR FAILURE LIKE IT OR LUMP IT.

    You and your party were under the feeling that you were untouchable and you acted in that manner, but your day of decision came before you were able to fully raid us any further.

    Thank god for the sensible thinking Barbadians that came out and voted you out of office.

    Let us remember those statements made by mottley to some of the biggest names in the building business here that they would tow the line with regard to the illegal Chinese workers and if they did not TOW THE LINE THEY COULD EXPECT A VAT AND TAX AUDIT, this is just not how business is done in this island and it is a disgusting act by a Deputy P M to threaten our business leaders in such a manner for her own selfish reasons.

    Is this the method of a Deputy P M or a DICTATOR in action?????

    While at it can you please explain why a Mr Pooler of Equity Ins was transferred 20 acres of prime land in Kent formerly owned by the NHC for the meager sum of $ 4 million this was done during the dying days of the last gov’t this land on the open market has a value of about $ 20 million but it was rushed thru to a party loyal at a peppercorn figure, this 20 acres of land that could have been used to locate low cost homes for our people on as I was property owned by the crown already?????

  • Ian Walcott // May 5, 2008 at 1:07 PM

    Wishing in Vain…it’s obvious where you alliance lies…
    I believe that in a democracy we have freedom of association and freedom of speech…
    Let’s agree to be on the opposite sides of the fence and move on…

  • Adrian Hinds // May 5, 2008 at 1:56 PM

    Ok, thanks Ian Walcott. It is good when persons are willing to declare their associations even if grudgingly. It helps in placing their comments in the correct perspective. ….But in every hive there can only be one INDEPENDENT BEE, and you are not HER. :D

    Ballad: The Independent Bee

    A hive of bees, as I’ve heard say,
    Said to their Queen one sultry day,
    “Please your Majesty’s high position,
    The hive is full and the weather is warm,
    We rather think, with a due submission,
    The Time has come when we ought to swarm.”
    Buzz, buzz, buzz, buzz.
    Up spake their Queen and thus spake she—
    “This is a matter that rest with me,
    Who dares opinions thus to form?
    I’ll tell you when it is time to swarm!”
    Buzz, buzz, buzz, buzz.

    Her Majesty wore an angry frown,
    In fact, her Majesty’s foot was down—
    Her Majesty sulked —declined to sup—
    In short, her Majesty’s back was up.
    Buzz, buzz, buzz, buzz.
    Her foot was down and her back was up!

    That hive contained one Obstinate bee.

  • Ian Walcott // May 5, 2008 at 2:55 PM

    HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! WE LIKE IT SO…

  • Wishing in Vain // May 5, 2008 at 2:57 PM

    But I really would love to hear your comments on the corruption that your party cast the country into, as above and thisis nothing in relation to the real extent that was done to us the citizens.
    It would be worthy of comment from someone like yourself who saw the corruption who lived the corruption but chose not to speak out about the corruption with your leader and your your party.

    I would suggest to you really this is not very flattering to your name or what you do not stand for, when you choose to defend a gov’t that was as morally corrupt as your party is and still try to hoist them onto the honest people of Barbados is totally wicked and dishonest to put it mildly.

  • Ian Walcott // May 5, 2008 at 3:03 PM

    Ah, that Time could touch a form
    That could show what Homer’s age
    Bred to be a hero’s wage.
    ‘Were not all her life but storm,
    Would not painters paint a form
    Of such noble lines,’ I said,
    ‘Such a delicate high head,
    All that sternness amid charm,
    All that sweetness amid strength?’
    Ah, but peace that comes at length,
    Came when Time had touched her form.

  • Ian Walcott // May 5, 2008 at 3:14 PM

    Oh but alas ye speaketh strong words and utterances without support…
    I believe the BEES were punished for the arrogance of their cronies…who walked around with high heads in the typical hubris of the powerful and the untouchable…and like you…I thank God that their reign has ended…for they too disgust me…
    The real question is how much will the status quo change…we are already hearing the new kingsmen making statements like “it’s we time now…”
    It’s we time to do what?
    I will not sit here and defend corruption in any form or fashion…
    What I support is free market economics with mimimal government internvention…the laws of supply and demand.
    However, in his exuberance to level the playing field and create a new class of black wealth, it appears that the king fell victim to his own good intentions which were skewed by the courtiers…
    But it takes a real man to say, “the buck stops here.”
    So let the die be cast and may the chips fall where they may…
    Barbados continues to be a sugar cane republic ruled by the TRIAD…the masonic lodge, the white economic elite, and their black political pawns…
    Sometimes the price we pay for disrupting such an arrangement is CORRUPTION…but two wrongs cant mek a right…

  • Wishing in Vain // May 5, 2008 at 3:26 PM

    You must be the die hard blp supporter to confirm that there was wholesale corruption and dishonesty in your party for this I have congratulate you for coming to grips with the reality.

    If you try to clean up the face of mottley and stop her from abusing and accosting her own sex with brutal beatings she will be ok in opposition for 15 years by that time the party would have groomed a leader with some moral substance to replace her and to make a new start as I am sure that you will agree she has neither the moral fibre nor ability to perform the task of PM, for that we need a SatesMAN and mottley as much as she may like to suggest that she can fill the role of a SatesMAN she is lacking in certain departments for this position.

  • Wishing in Vain // May 5, 2008 at 3:27 PM

    You must be the first die hard blp supporter to confirm that there was wholesale corruption and dishonesty in your party for this I have congratulate you for coming to grips with the reality.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 5, 2008 at 3:58 PM

    Ah, that Time could touch a form
    That could show what Homer’s age
    Bred to be a hero’s wage.
    ‘Were not all her life but storm,
    Would not painters paint a form
    Of such noble lines,’ I said,
    ‘Such a delicate high head,
    All that sternness amid charm,
    All that sweetness amid strength?’
    Ah, but peace that comes at length,
    Came when Time had touched her form.
    =================================

    Ah the expectations of youth and age, at last peace is all one can get. The time and realization that she is getting old have not drawn her to Barbadians, and Barbadians to her, and neither have they driven her away.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 5, 2008 at 4:30 PM

    Where Americans are spending their money.

    Note the large areas are as Elizabeth Warren stated ‘fixed expenses” totals 66% . Taxes another fixed expense is not included

    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/05/03/business/20080403_SPENDING_GRAPHIC.html

    …..Those Barbadians who don’t have a mortgage or do not pay rent can truly reduce spending the rest must cut-out and contrive, and that may not be enough.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 5, 2008 at 4:31 PM

    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/05/03/business/20080403_SPENDING_GRAPHIC.html

  • David // May 5, 2008 at 6:13 PM

    We have had our fun but we should all remember that the creativity of Barbadians will be tested shortly. Although we can’t tell people what to comment on it would be useful to use Dr. Robinson’s contribution to move some ideas forward.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 5, 2008 at 7:37 PM

    I have embrace those green initiatives that i have determine, can save me some money in the long run. I compose, i have rain barrels, I have all energy saving bulbs, as a habit i turn off all non essential appliances and devices at night. I take the commuter rail rather than drive, I walk home (1.6 miles) rather than drive, I will be restarting my kitchen garden next summer. I no longer make purchases at work. I am in the final stages of building a wind-charger to power my garage.

    Saving money and navigating the rising cost of almost everything.

    one must start with a financial picture of where they are. One should be able to determine their net wealth ( wealth-liabilities). One should have a sense of their expenses, where they spend their money, how much money they bring in etc. Only after you know these things can you make changes that can have the intended effect you desire.

    Record everything you buy for 30 days. This will give you an idea of where you can make cuts. Take your earnings slip and determine what percentage of it is paid in taxes, find out if you have the right exemptions or if they are things you can do to reduce your tax load. Please note that you can now access NIS online to see if you will qualify for non-contributory or old age pension and how much contributions are credited to your account. Next take your fixed expenses i.e. mortgage/rent, car note, etc and see what percentage of your net pay goes toward these cost. pay yourself first, by committing your first dollar to savings before anything else. Be realistic with this and don’t try to save a substantial amount overnight. I can go on but will stop here for now.

  • JR // May 5, 2008 at 7:42 PM

    I will really feel like a BU member when we drop the formality of Dr. Robinson, so I am blogging as JR from now.

    An article on a blog is definitely a different experience for us academics.

  • JR // May 5, 2008 at 7:44 PM

    Is CSA in colombia this year ian?

  • David // May 5, 2008 at 8:21 PM

    There was a caller to the call-in show today who made the point passionately that she has a problem with the lack of a road map or strategy which is being supported at a national level to generate significant savings and changes. She indicated that she could contrive to the nth degree but in her view the challenge at hand calls for a bigger and more all encompassing effort.

  • JR // May 5, 2008 at 8:34 PM

    Individual effort is important but I agree its inadequate.

    The Ministry of the environment recently held a breakfast consultation on the issue and i argued strongly that the government and big business have a crucial role to play.

    In my view we do not really have the time for the effects of individual efforts to build up and have a dramatic impact. The crisis is upon us and we need some sort of crisis response.

  • JR // May 5, 2008 at 8:47 PM

    For example, I think we need to hear a bit more from Sagicor in terms of their successes in alternative energy. They with a successful program would be far more credible than any academic talking about an issue.

  • Adrian Hinds // May 5, 2008 at 8:51 PM

    I am compose when i am composting. :D

    JR what esactly is the crisis that is upon Barbados as you see it? How am i to view your dire comments with the record number of patrons attending reggea on the hill, and other events?

  • Birdpickmango // May 5, 2008 at 8:51 PM

    Dr Justin
    Thanks for you info on UWI. While that makes good reading, the intrinsic belief systems and values that make for entrepreneur appear to be exception rather than the rule. I know for example Harold Hoyte, James Husbands, The Haloutes of Cheffette, Richard Stoute, Madd Comedians and Cow Williams all had very clear visions, a willingness to succeed and above all took risks. Within that context they created a tension that would generate success once values like cooperation, adding value etc. were added. I am talking about the things that we would be found in books if the above wrote about their success. This quite different from the formal classroom teaching. I speak of the process that artistes use over an over again to create their work. If we step back a little we will notice that Crop Over passed through distinct stages starting way back as carnival with the Jaycees. It grew because of the vision of different people and a change in structure each time. It will continue to oscillate( efficient or inefficient) until its mission is redefined and different structures are put in place. The name Crop over has outlived its usefulness – the festival should not be linked to a dead end. The festival should be renamed Barbados Summer Festival with the following goals: to entertain, create employment, foreign exchange, build relationships, document and archive culture experiences, and develop entrepreneurship. The greatest challenge is to create a model that places the what above the who. Our history could lead us to a model and path similar to the Insurance Corporation or Barbados National Bank with a Board of directors including some of the aforementioned name, perhaps two or three product designers/marketers from overseas and a neutral body like UWI. The entity would promote culture instead of insurance and money. If we have learnt anything from sports development is that business skills and sports skills does not necessary overlap.
    In the short term Cohobopot should be reorganized to promote music for export and primarily entertain visitors. Secondly the internet should be central to every thing. Remember how TV now drives International hockey? The Brand should remain Najan but indeed packaged for export.
    David what saith thou?

  • Birdpickmango // May 5, 2008 at 8:56 PM

    correction – how TV drives International golf

  • David // May 5, 2008 at 9:03 PM

    birdpickmango we maybe singing from the same song sheet albeit a different vocal part. Our problem when we start to talk about vision is when placed in the context of Barbados, a small island state, the success of our country will always be hindered by the ’silo’ approach. Just imagine if we could have a Think Tank in Barbados correctly facilitated (we don’t mean the Sherbourne Affairs) which creates the opportunity for ideas and strategies to cross-pollinate to the national benefit.

    We are too small to be using national resources which may not be working to reposition Barbados in the new global economy.

  • JR // May 5, 2008 at 9:15 PM

    The oil price stuck above $100 for the foreseeable future constitutes a crisis in my opinion. Such a crisis calls for an urgent national response. As I point out in the article there is a veritable arms race among countries in terms of alternative energy and conservation.

    I want a conversation on solutions where many ideas can contend and possibly be tried and hopefully some useful solutions emerge.

    I just do not think the conversation is animated enough in BIM given the gravity of the situation.

    Where is energy towards the offering of green mortgages and green home and car insurance policies? Where is the drive towards net metering with the power company for firms and households that embrace alternative energy? Where are the green committees at our major firms and institutions?

  • Micro-Mock Engineer // May 5, 2008 at 10:56 PM

    David & JR,

    The Energy Efficiency focus is important in the short term, but not for the reasons being touted – it will make us more productive and competitive but it will NOT reduce consumption. Improved efficiency (by this I mean extrinsic efficiency in the use of external resources, which is what people usually mean in discussions like this) ALWAYS results in increased overall consumption. For a good “real-life” example of this in action, Google Jevon’s Paradox. There are countless examples… electricity, agriculture, automobiles… Increased Efficiency = Increased Overall Consumption. It surprises me that so many economists don’t recognize this… higher efficiency means lower per unit cost and lower per unit cost means higher demand.

    Intrinsic efficiency is a different story… we could actually learn alot by simply contrasting BBE’s designs with ours… take photosynthesis for example… 2% extrinsic efficiency in converting sunlight reaching earth into living matter, but at an intrinsic efficiency of 95%.

    So let’s do the energy efficiency thing to improve our competitiveness, but don’t lose sight of the bigger problem at hand (i.e. competition over a currently scarce natural resource) which requires an entirely different focus.

    Now… a problem still exists… high intrinsic efficiency (GOOD) could result in high extrinsic efficiency (BAD) unless rigid rules are introduced… in the case of BBE these are rules are the laws of nature… in the case of MMEs these are traditionally regulatory frameworks, duties and taxes aimed at protecting resources. So do we maintain and improve on these regulations as our scientists and engineers unlock natures secrets? Noooooooo… our economists who for the most part treat the consumption of natural capital as income, preach free trade, single economic spaces and deregulation.

    The free trade, liberalization and deregulation movements over the past couple decades has been terribly misguided and partly responsible for many of the problems we are experiencing today – I hate to dwell on the point, but it comes back to politicians pandering to 1. public opinion, 2. special interests with deep pockets and 3. flawed economic theories. We need MORE leaders and LESS politicians… here’s an idea… in addition to energy conservation, lets have a national politician conservation campaign. We could start by cutting the number of seats in parliament in half, and introduce an alternative method of selecting and appointing LEADERS… conventional elections clearly don’t cut it in the twenty-first century… more on this another time.

  • Gabriel the Horn Blower // May 6, 2008 at 8:40 AM

    Following the post of Micro-Mock Engineer, I am encouraged to propose that we institute a ‘divinely inspired’ monachy say along the lines of the Tibetans or the ancient Mayas!

    Such a leadership would not have to pander to 1. public opinion (L’Estate c’est moi, let them eat cake…) , 2. special interests with deep pockets (well only those with big guns) nor 3. flawed economic theories (double, double toil and trouble..).

    I plan to blow my horn any day now (or at least some more hot air)!

  • JR // May 6, 2008 at 9:03 AM

    I fear we might be behind the curve in the adjustment game.

    Recent figures for the US show that sales of domestic light trucks, which includes the SUV category, fell 20.6% in April, even more dramatic than the 18.3% drop between March 2007 and March 2008.

    Reports suggest that combined sales of domestic and imported cars now outnumber light trucks by a significant margin for the first time since 2003.

    Are we going to continue on our current trajectory or will we begin to adjust to a new reality?

  • Adrian Hinds // May 6, 2008 at 12:08 PM

    JR // May 6, 2008 at 9:03 am

    I fear we might be behind the curve in the adjustment game.

    Recent figures for the US show that sales of domestic light trucks, which includes the SUV category, fell 20.6% in April, even more dramatic than the 18.3% drop between March 2007 and March 2008.

    Reports suggest that combined sales of domestic and imported cars now outnumber light trucks by a significant margin for the first time since 2003.

    Are we going to continue on our current trajectory or will we begin to adjust to a new reality?
    =================================

    Not on their own if the American experience is anything to go by.

  • Ian Walcott // May 6, 2008 at 12:50 PM

    http://www.caribbean-studies.org/ACCSA2008/en/index.html
    Justin…the CSA Conference is in Colombia this year…I take it that you wont be there…because you would have registered by now…
    Ian

  • JR // May 6, 2008 at 2:27 PM

    ian the fellas keep stretching the definition of the caribbean though.

  • JR // May 6, 2008 at 2:30 PM

    We should spare a thought and lots of prayers for the folks in Myanmar where reports are suggesting a death toll of over 22,000 from the cyclone.

  • JR // May 6, 2008 at 2:35 PM

    So who is going to start a green initiative at their workplace?

  • Micro-Mock Engineer // May 6, 2008 at 6:07 PM

    LOL Gabriel… Je m’en vais, mais l’État demeurera toujours…

    I’ve put away the soap box and will leave the philosophizing for the pragmatists and experts like Hoad and BT :)

  • Sam Gamgee // May 6, 2008 at 6:18 PM

    Don’t know ’bout any green initiative but I can tell you at my office I am always turning off lights and AC units when the office is empty and even when there are people in it.
    Want the truth? I am the only one who does this. Seems people don’t much care when they are not picking up the bill. Talk about short-sightedness.

  • Bush tea // May 6, 2008 at 7:24 PM

    JR

    I am still a bit at a loss at your preoccupation with ‘greening’ and efficient use of energy at this stage.

    Exactly what benefits do you see accruing from this at this stage, except for a degree of ‘feel good’?

    Let us say that we could all cut our energy use by 50%, what impact is this likely to have on the macro outcome?

    Based on your enlightening analysis on this blog, I am even more convinced that what we need is a completely new look at our very core objectives as a society.
    …..merely being more efficient- while following the same social goals, the same consumer (greed) focused way of business- does not address the challenges that we face with the global energy shortage.

    Can development continue to be seen as aiming for ‘first world’ status? or do we need a new higher level ‘reason for being’ that drives the way we arrange our society?

    I feel that while an intuitive position to take, ‘greening’ distracts us from the real issue that need to be faced.

  • Michael the Sword Bearer // May 6, 2008 at 7:45 PM

    ha ha ha MME. Like you mash some politician/economist corns.
    “monach” is “monarch”
    “L’Estate” is “L’Etat”
    and “Gabriel the Horn Blower” is “Little Boy Blue”

  • Gabriel the Horn Blower // May 6, 2008 at 8:45 PM

    Michael cut a fellow seraphin some slack willya?
    But your corrections are noted and appreciated. Little Boy Blue? THAT however is really insulting ..LOL.

    Micro-Mock Engineer glad you got a laugh (that is a mark of intelligence).

    Richard Hoad along with his sister-in-law Frances Chandler have been challenged to put up or shut up by Michael Cozier. Now we will see how pragmatic they are!

    And on a philosophical note … check out Buddhist Economics
    http://www.schumachersociety.org/buddhist_economics/english.html

    Interestingly, it was the Rt Excellent E.W.Barrow that introduced the work of E.F. Schumacher (Small is Beautiful) to the Barbadian public some thirty years ago.

    Whether we accept it or not “l’État demeurera toujours..” and many other States for whom the threat of mutually assured destruction ironically ensures ‘peaceful’ co-existence.

    Enough hot air for now…

  • Gabriel the Horn Blower // May 6, 2008 at 8:48 PM

    oh dear what’s wrong with me…should be seraphiM!

  • Micro-Mock Engineer // May 6, 2008 at 10:16 PM

    Thanks for the link Gabe… gonna do some reading…

    Yuh brudda Michael jump in real rough doh.

    It must be true what they say about BBE not liking to see you ‘fiery ones’ making fun of us mere MMEs… LOL

  • Bush tea // May 7, 2008 at 5:46 AM

    The ‘Buddhist Economics’ explains my point exactly.
    The current energy crisis represents a clear indication of the failure of our basic underlying philosophy of life.

    What greening what?!?

    ….we do not need better efficiency – we need a different philosophy…

  • Gabriel the Horn Blower // May 7, 2008 at 9:17 PM

    Before returning to the Elysian Fields, I bring to the attention of this delirious society the case of the Mennonites of Belize. These people are not worrying about fuel or food prices. Why not?

  • David // May 8, 2008 at 6:54 AM

    Bush tea we take your point but there is a process which Barbadians will have to undergo to achieve the philosophical change which you are suggesting.

    Could we say that the same triggers or mental gymnastics required for Barbadians to shift to greening is the precursor to changing how we are currently managing things?

  • Straight talk // May 8, 2008 at 11:02 AM

    Re: Efficiency Challenge

    As per usual, I agree with my friend Bush Tea’s
    analysis of the dilemma we are facing.

    Whether for reducing the power bills or global temperature, our puny attempts at cutting electricity consumption will be, at best, futile and probably even counter-productive.

    The reasons are simple.

    If cutting consumption does not reduce fossil fuel production there is no gain for all our pain.

    Governments are relying on demand destruction to save the planet, and if we maintain our current lifestyles, that is never going to happen.

    For a variety of reasons some oil producers will carry on exporting the same amount of oil no matter what the price, and some richer industrialised nations will carry on with their current consumption patterns.

    So any sacrifice made by changing to fluorescent lighting will be negated by someone else’s SUV.

    In fact we will in fact be subsidising their profligacy.

    It needs a catalysing event, probably the one predicted by Bush Tea’s theory, to stop us dead in our tracks and bring about a completely different attitude towards both natural resources and economic theory.

  • SMALL BUSINESS OWNER // May 8, 2008 at 4:50 PM

    SECURITY DEPOSITS AND THE BL&P

    I DREAD WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO PEOPLE LIKE ME WHOSE MAJOR EXPENSE IS ELECRICITY. I AM A SMALL BUSINESS OWNER . I DID SOME RENNOVATIONS ON A
    GUEST APARTMENT BLOCK AND WAS INITIALLY CHARGED A SECURITY DEPOSIT EQUAL TO THREE (3) TIMES MY MONTHLY BILL. BUT BEFORE THREE MONTHS PASSED THE BL&P SENT A LETTER TO ME RAISING THE SECUIRTY DEPOSIT BECAUSE MY USAGE WAS MORE THAN THE ESTIMATED. I QUESTIONED IT AND WAS TOLD THAT I COULD GET A REFUND WHEN I TERMINATE MY SERVICE.
    I AM A BAJAN, I OWN THE PROPERTY ON WHICH THE BUSINESS IS LOCATED . THERE IS ONLY ONE ELECTRIC COMPANY. THAT MEANS MY MONEY WILL BE HELD BY THE BL&P FOREVER AND EVER AMEN OR UNTIL THEY MAKE IT SO BURDENSOME THAT I WOULD HAVE TO SELL OUT.
    I HAVE NEVER DEFAULTED ON MY BILLS. AS FAR AS I HEARD BL&P CUS OFF YOUR SERVICE IF YOU DO NOT PAY, WHY SHOULD THEY TAKE 3 MONTHS MONEY FROM SOME ONE LIKE ME. A LOT OF TOURIST ARE LOOKING FOR CHEAP ACCOMMODATION SO THERE WILL BE DIFFICULTY IN PASSING ON THIS INCREASE.
    I ALSO QUESTION WHAT HAPPENS TO BIG BUSINESES AND WAS TOLD THEY ACCEPT GUARANTEES.
    I DREAD RECEIVING ANOTHER LETTER ASKING FOR ANOTHER INCREASE

  • Straight talk // May 8, 2008 at 7:36 PM

    Not my experience, SMALL BUSINESS OWNER, BL &P pay me a handsome interest on their mandatory deposit.

    Unlike the sharks at C&W who demanded off me an interest free loan of $ 600 for the total length of contract I had with them.

    When oh when will the GoB or the toothless guardians at the FTC bring these monopolies to heel.

  • uwi // May 15, 2008 at 8:36 AM

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  • hindssight // May 15, 2008 at 10:05 AM

    SMALL BUSINESS OWNER // May 8, 2008 at 4:50 pm

    SECURITY DEPOSITS AND THE BL&P

    ==============================

    Windchargers are at work on yachts, residences and small business. You can purchase various sizes from http://www.e-marine-inc.com/products/wind_generators/wind_generator.html

    or seek to build your own http://www.mdpub.com/Wind_Turbine/index.html

    you can also build solor panels as well. your choice, try to help yourself or continue to complain to the wind.

  • Ian Walcott // May 19, 2008 at 4:57 PM

    JR…I agree with you on the problematique of defining the Caribbean…there are several definitions out there…the most commonly accepted one is “any land mass that is touched by the Caribbean sea…”
    Ironically enough…that would rule out Barbados we are are really fully in the Atlantic….go figure…

  • Natural Mystic // May 19, 2008 at 5:53 PM

    Canada is subsidising solar power fed into the grid! Ontario’s Standard Offer program will pay $0.42/kWh for 20 years, the highest price for solar-generated electricity in North America.

    Now THAT is refreshing. Read on:

    http://www.wind-works.org/FeedLaws/Canada/OntarioonPathtoBecomeSolarPowerhouseofCanada.html
    Ontario on Path to Become Solar Powerhouse of Canada
    May 18 2006

    By Paul Gipe

    ——————————————————————————–

    The following article appeared in an edited form in Private Power magazine. In November 2006 Standard Offer Contracts became officially available. The Ontario program is now up and running.

    ——————————————————————————–

    Cambridge, Ontario-Everyone was beaming when Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty took the podium at Photowatt’s assembly hall near Cambridge on March 21, the TV crews took their positions, reporters flipped open their notebooks, and the 200-strong crowd went silent. This wasn’t just another photo-op. Those present sensed that this was an historic event.

    McGuinty then went on to announce that the government of Ontario would launch an ambitious-some say daring–program offering standard contracts for the provincial purchase of electricity from anyone willing to install a solar panel on their roof, a wind turbine on their farm, or a biogas generator at their dairy that was less than 10 MW in size.

    “We’re taking a bold step that will allow hundreds of small, local, renewable energy producers to get into the energy market-providing cleaner energy that will help meet Ontario’s needs today-and in the future,” said Premier McGuinty.

    The Premier was accompanied at the podium by Ontario’s Minister of Energy Donna Cansfield and Canada’s popular scientist and TV-personality, David Suzuki.

    Cansfield, the driving political force behind the measure that adapts European electricity feed laws to North America, told the crowd that Ontario was “open for business” and was seeking to become the renewable energy powerhouse of North America.

    Ontario is Canada’s industrial heartland and it’s here that the province hopes to lure wind turbine and solar cell manufacturers to produce products for the entire North American market.

    A sometime critic of the McGuinty government’s energy policy, Suzuki praised the Premier’s announcement, characterizing the Standard Offer program as the “most progressive renewable energy policy in North America in two decades.”

    Indeed, not since California’s Standard Offer No. 4 of the early 1980s has a state or province launched such an ambitious policy. Ontario’s Standard Offer Contracts will pay more for wind, solar, biomass, and small hydro than any other program in North America, including Schwarzenegger’s much ballyhooed program in California.

    The announcement culminated a 2-1/2 year campaign by the Ontario Sustainable Energy Association (OSEA) for what the NGO calls Advanced Renewable Tariffs.

    Still, critics note that the prices in the Standard Offer program are less than those proposed by OSEA in a report to the Ministry of Energy in early 2005. More worrisome, they say, is that the tariffs in the 20-year contracts, especially those for solar photovoltaics (PV) will not keep pace with inflation.

    Under the province’s program only 20% of the tariffs are adjusted with inflation. OSEA argued, unsuccessfully, that 80% of the tariffs should rise with inflation.

    Wind Projects Waiting in the Wings
    Thomas Schneider of Schneider Power fears that the tariff for wind is too tight under Ontario conditions. Ontario, says Schneider, is the most expensive jurisdiction in North America to build a wind project, as much as 30% more than other areas he asserts. Combine that with the low wind speeds typical of southern Ontario and the $0.11/kWh makes projects problematic. Nevertheless, Schneider will soon announce development of five projects under the Standard Offer program, assuming he can find financing.

    Similarly, Ontario wind pioneer Glen Estill says “we need to see the rules and a workable contract” before projects can proceed. Estill’s Sky Generation has two 10 MW projects in the hopper waiting for contracts.

    Reportedly, commercial wind developers have ordered nearly 200 system impact studies from Hydro One. If true, there may be as much as 2,000 MW waiting in the wings for wind contracts.

    The program will be administered by the newly created Ontario Power Authority. OPA’s Manager of Renewable Energy, Jim MacDougal, says he expects contracts will be available by fall of 2005. “We hope we can move that schedule up,” he says, but there are a number of issues that must be resolved.

    Major Solar PV Growth Possible
    Ontario’s program is modeled after that in Germany where the staggering growth of the solar industry is a powerful display of how electricity feed laws can drive rapid development of solar energy. Germany installed $4 billion of solar PV last year most of that on home and farm rooftops. This follows the nearly $3 billion installed in 2004.

    Germany has now overtaken Japan as the world’s largest PV market and it’s manufacturers now compete with Japanese suppliers worldwide.

    In 2005, Germany generated 1 billion kilowatt-hours of solar electricity and the industry expects this to rise to nearly 3 billion kilowatt-hours by 2011.

    Ontario consumes 150 billion kWh per year.

    Germany now operates some 1,400 megawatts (MW) of solar generation, more than all the renewable energy contracts awarded in Ontario to date, and more than twice all the wind turbines currently operating in Canada.

    More than 200,000 homes, businesses, and farms in Germany have installed solar panels and sell their electricity-for a profit-to their local distribution company.

    In 2005, German farmers installed 200 MW of solar panels on barn roof tops. German farmers alone invested more than $1.5 billion in solar PV last year.

    The solar PV industry now employs 30,000 in Germany.

    Minister of Energy Cansfield hopes that Ontario’s standard offer contracts for solar PV will create a similar boon, enabling homeowners and farmers to install solar panels on their roofs. With a strong demand for solar panels in the province, Ontario will provide a enticing market for both Japanese, German, and French manufacturers as well as stimulate development of homegrown companies such as Spheral Solar.

    There is a strong pent up demand for solar panels in Ontario. Many homeowners have been waiting for the ability to sell power to the grid at a price higher than the net-metering rate. Ontario’s Standard Offer program will pay $0.42/kWh for 20 years, the highest price for solar-generated electricity in North America.

    The Canadian Solar Industries Association estimates that there is the potential for 1,300 MW of solar generation on roof tops in Toronto alone. Because peak solar generation occurs during sunny summer months when demand is highest, solar PV could greatly help Toronto meet its need for power.

    Standard Offer Contracts Open to Everyone
    Unlike other mechanisms used to develop solar energy, Standard Offer Contracts, what Germans call Electricity Feed Laws, elicits the active participation of its citizens and small businesses. Ontario’s contracts will be available to any homeowner, farmer, or businessperson.

    German homeowners typically install solar systems about 3 kilowatt (kW) in size, sufficient to provide two-thirds of the electricity used by an average German home.

    German farmers install much bigger solar systems, typically 30 to 50 kW. This is similar in size to the 36 kW solar system installed by Toronto Hydro in 2004. Such large solar arrays generate 25,000 to 40,000 kWh per year in Germany.

    Surprisingly, there’s about 20% more solar energy in Ontario than in Germany.

    As a result, the prospects for solar and wind energy development in Ontario are increasingly sunny. Yet the devil remains in the details.

    Be Prepared and Become Active
    Proposals by the Ontario Energy Board could squash the program before the first contract is signed. OEB has suggested that homeowners register as “power generators” and pay an exorbitant fee-every quarter. This provision alone would strangle the young Ontario solar industry in its cradle.

    Moreover, demand for solar panels has never been higher and there’s a shortage worldwide. If you’re considering a solar installation, it would be wise to contact a dealer immediately and be prepared to place your order as soon as contracts are available. Solar dealers in Ontario could become very busy by fall.

    Be prepared to act. Write a letter to Premier Dalton McGuinty acknowledging his leadership on launching Ontario’s groundbreaking policy on renewable energy and ask that the Premier should direct the Ontario Energy Board to make the program work as simply and cheaply as possible. Then send a copy to your local newspaper.

    Ontario is on the verge of a historic change in how it produces and distributes electricity. This will only happen if Ontarians are permitted to generate electricity and sell it at a fair price. Ontario’s Standard Offer Program promises just that.

    -End-

  • Natural Mystic // May 19, 2008 at 5:55 PM

    $0.42 Canadian = $ 0.84 Bajan per kW hour

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